Question map
A decrease in tax to GDP ratio of a country indicates which of the following? 1. Slowing economic growth rate 2. Less equitable distribution of national income Select the correct answer using the code given below.
Explanation
The tax to GDP ratio is the ratio of total government tax collection to a country's Gross Domestic Product[1]. A decrease in this ratio does not necessarily indicate either a slowing economic growth rate or less equitable income distribution.
After the fiscal stimulus, even though GDP growth picked up from 2008-09, there is a fall in the tax collection[2]. This demonstrates that tax collection can fall even when economic growth is rising, disproving statement 1. The initial fall during 90s is due to domestic rate cut in indirect tax after liberalization which was started in 1991[3], showing that policy changes like tax rate reductions can cause the ratio to decrease independently of growth rates.
The tax-to-GDP ratio is primarily influenced by tax policy, tax administration efficiency, compliance levels, and the structure of the economy. A decrease can occur due to deliberate tax cuts, exemptions, or poor compliance—none of which directly indicate slowing growth or income inequality. Therefore, neither statement 1 nor statement 2 is necessarily indicated by a decrease in the tax-to-GDP ratio.
Sources- [1] https://www.nacin.gov.in/Documents/MCTPTraining/MCTP_2015-16/Phase_III/569892cbae160.pdf
- [2] https://www.nacin.gov.in/Documents/MCTPTraining/MCTP_2015-16/Phase_III/569892cbae160.pdf
- [3] https://www.nacin.gov.in/Documents/MCTPTraining/MCTP_2015-16/Phase_III/569892cbae160.pdf
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Guest previewThis is a classic 'Logic vs. Correlation' trap disguised as an economy question. UPSC tests if you treat macro-indicators (like Tax/GDP) as mathematical ratios (A/B) or as moral proxies. Since a ratio can fall because the denominator (GDP) grows faster than the numerator (Tax), neither statement is 'necessarily' true. Always check the math behind the metric.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Directly states that GDP growth picked up after 2008-09 while tax collection fell, showing a declining tax-to-GDP ratio can coincide with rising GDP.
- This contradicts the claim that a falling tax-to-GDP ratio necessarily indicates slowing economic growth.
- Explains the tax-to-GDP ratio fell in the 1990s due to domestic rate cuts in indirect taxes after liberalisation, indicating policy changes (not GDP slowdown) can reduce the ratio.
- Shows tax-to-GDP movements can reflect tax policy rather than underlying economic growth trends.
This snippet frames the precise proposition as an exam-style question, listing 'slowing economic growth rate' as a possible interpretation of a falling tax-to-GDP ratio.
A student could treat this as a hypothesis to test using data on tax/GDP and GDP growth across years or countries to see how often they co-move.
Explains that a falling GDP growth rate can coexist with rising real GDP levels (growth slowdown vs level), clarifying that 'growth rate' and 'output level' are distinct concepts.
Use this distinction to check whether a falling tax/GDP coincides with lower GDP growth rates (speed) rather than a fall in GDP level; compare growth-rate series rather than levels.
Gives the concept of 'slowdown' where growth rate declines but output still rises, and defines recession vs slowdown.
Apply this rule to interpret a drop in tax/GDP: determine if it aligns with a slowdown (lower growth rate) or with other causes while output may still rise.
Defines tax buoyancy/elasticity: measures how tax revenues respond to changes in tax base or rates — linking tax revenue behaviour to GDP movements.
A student could use tax buoyancy/elasticity concepts to assess whether a drop in tax/GDP stems from weak tax responsiveness to growth (low buoyancy) or from actual weaker GDP growth.
Notes that raising tax/GDP is often achieved via a wider base and that higher GDP growth historically increased government resources — indicating two-way links between growth and tax ratios.
Combine this with external data on tax policy changes: check if falling tax/GDP coincides with tax-base narrowing or policy cuts rather than purely lower growth.
This statement analysis shows book citations, web sources and indirect clues. The first statement (S1) is open for preview.
Login with Google to unlock all statements.
This tab shows concrete study steps: what to underline in books, how to map current affairs, and how to prepare for similar questions.
Login with Google to unlock study guidance.
Discover the small, exam-centric ideas hidden in this question and where they appear in your books and notes.
Login with Google to unlock micro-concepts.
Access hidden traps, elimination shortcuts, and Mains connections that give you an edge on every question.
Login with Google to unlock The Vault.