Question map
Which of the following has/have shrunk immensely/dried up in the recent past due to human activities ? 1. Aral Sea 2. Black Sea 3. Lake Baikal Select the correct answer using the code given below :
Explanation
The correct answer is option A (1 only).
The Aral Sea experienced a dramatic sea level drop around 1961 due to increasing human impact[1], and has practically ceased to exist as a single water body since then[1]. Water diversions for agricultural purposes from the Amu Darya and Syr Darya rivers beginning in the middle of the last century caused inflows into the Aral Sea to fall by as much as 85 percent by the 1980s[2]. The sea has shrunk by 70% in recent decades due to widespread diversion of rivers and poor water management[3].
Regarding the Black Sea, the provided documents only mention eutrophication issues and temperature variations, but contain no evidence of the sea shrinking immensely or drying up.
For Lake Baikal, while pollution from untreated industrial discharge has led to significant deterioration in water quality and poses a threat to ecological viability[5], there is no evidence in the sources that the lake has shrunk immensely or dried up. Therefore, only the Aral Sea meets the criteria specified in the question.
Sources- [1] http://ndl.ethernet.edu.et/bitstream/123456789/67193/1/2010_Book_TheAralSeaEnvironment.pdf
- [2] https://portals.iucn.org/library/efiles/documents/IUCN-EPLP-no.075.pdf
- [3] https://www.thegef.org/sites/default/files/publications/SGPIW_Report_CRA-lo_0.pdf
- [4] https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/678901468766794877/pdf/multi-page.pdf
- [5] https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/678901468766794877/pdf/multi-page.pdf
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewThis is a 'Headline Environmental Event' question. The Aral Sea disaster is the global textbook example of human-induced desiccation. The trap lies in confusing 'polluted' (Black Sea, Baikal) with 'physically disappearing' (Aral). If you read any basic environment module, Aral is page one.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Has the Aral Sea shrunk immensely or dried up in the recent past due to human activities?
- Statement 2: Has the Black Sea shrunk immensely or dried up in the recent past due to human activities?
- Statement 3: Has Lake Baikal shrunk immensely or dried up in the recent past due to human activities?
- Explicitly attributes a dramatic sea-level drop to increasing human impact beginning around 1961.
- States the Aral Sea 'practically ceased to exist as a single water body', supporting the claim of massive shrinkage/drying.
- Describes large-scale diversion of river water for agriculture under Soviet guidance as the cause.
- Quantifies inflow reductions (as much as 85%) and concludes the Aral Sea 'nearly dried out entirely.'
- States the Aral Sea 'used to be the worldβs fourth largest freshwater inland lake' and documents a 70% shrinkage.
- Directly links the shrinkage to human causes: widespread river diversion, poor water management, and desertification.
Identifies Lake Aral (Aral Sea) as a classic example of an endorheic (closed) basin where water converges to a sink; such basins are sensitive to reductions in inflow and can become dry lakes.
A student could check a map to confirm the Aral Sea lies in an endorheic basin and then look for evidence that its inflow rivers have been reduced (e.g., by diversion or irrigation) to explain shrinkage.
States that human activities now rival natural agents of environmental change (e.g., changing atmosphere, land/water use), establishing a general rule that humans can cause large-scale changes to water bodies.
Use this general rule plus regional facts (river diversion, irrigation projects) to assess whether human actions could plausibly reduce inflows to the Aral Sea and cause shrinkage.
Lists mechanisms that can dry rivers/lakes: drying of glaciers, river piracy, and shifting river coursesβprocesses that change freshwater supply to downstream basins.
Compare whether the Aral Sea's inflow rivers experienced any of these processes or anthropogenic analogues (e.g., upstream water withdrawals) to evaluate causes of shrinkage.
Provides historical examples of major river course shifts and diversions in the region (Indus and its tributaries), showing that river courses and their downstream destinations can change substantially over time.
A student could locate the Aral Sea and trace historical/current courses of its feeder rivers to test if diversion or course change reduced inflow and led to drying.
Describes how diversion or loss of tributaries led to drying of a major river (Saraswati)βan example linking changes in tributary input to downstream drying.
Analogously investigate whether tributary diversion or upstream water loss occurred for rivers feeding the Aral Sea, supporting a human-caused shrinkage hypothesis.
States the Black Sea has very low salinity because of enormous freshwater influx by rivers (i.e., its water balance depends strongly on river input).
A student could check whether major river diversion or reduced river discharge (from dams/withdrawals) could plausibly lower Black Sea level or shrink its area.
Repeats that Black Sea salinity is controlled by large freshwater river inputs, reinforcing the idea that river inflow is a key driver of its state.
Combine this with external data on trends in river flows (e.g., Volga, Danube) and human water use to assess likely impacts on sea volume/extent.
States human activities now rival natural agents of environmental change (climate change, land-use), implying human-driven changes can alter seas and coasts.
Use this general rule to investigate whether regional human-driven climate or hydrological changes could affect Black Sea level/area in recent decades.
Gives an explicit example where a sea (Bering Sea) shrank about 5% in 50 years, showing that measurable recent shrinkage of seas has occurred.
Compare the magnitude and causes of Bering Sea shrinkage (climate-driven) with Black Sea observations to judge plausibility of recent large shrinkage.
Describes historical recession of seas due to long-term geological processes (sedimentation, uplift), indicating seas can recede over long timescales unrelated to recent human action.
Use this to separate long-term geological shrinking from recent human-driven change β check timescales of any reported Black Sea change to see which mechanism fits.
- States Lake Baikal's immense size and importance (large volume and global freshwater share), implying it is not described as having 'dried up'.
- Documents substantial pollution from industry ('about 40 factories ... discharging their wastes untreated'), indicating environmental degradation rather than drastic shrinkage/drying.
- Describes widespread discharge of untreated effluent from many smaller enterprises.
- Says 'Pollution loading has lead to a significant deterioration in Lake Baikal's quality' and threatens ecological viability β indicating pollution impacts, not that the lake has shrunk or dried up.
- Reports the lake bottom 'has been fouled' and many settlements lack wastewater treatment, showing contamination rather than desiccation.
- Notes waste flows into the lake from 336 rivers, with the Selenga providing over one-half of the inflow β evidence of continued inflow that argues against the lake having dried up.
States Lake Baikal is in an active rift valley and contains roughly 20% of the world's unfrozen surface freshwater, establishing its huge volume and sensitivity as a major freshwater reservoir.
A student could use this to reason that any reported large shrinkage or drying would be exceptional and would require substantial causes (e.g., major diversion, extraction, or climatic change) to remove such a large volume.
Says lakes are temporary features that can be eliminated by draining, silting, evaporation and percolation, and that in unreliable rainfall regions lakes can dry up seasonally.
Apply this general process list to assess whether factors (increased evaporation, reduced inflow, human-driven drainage) could plausibly shrink Baikal by checking regional climate trends and water-use changes.
Describes major human uses of lakes (transport, economy) and implies strong human-lake interactions where lakes matter to societies.
Use this to motivate checking whether large-scale human activities (industrial withdrawal, dams/diversions, pollution) occurred on Baikal's inflows or basin that could reduce its level.
Explains that some lakes (poljes, playas) shrink during dry periods due to seepage and that lake size can be seasonally variable.
Combine this with knowledge of regional hydrology to assess whether seasonal/long-term changes in precipitation or seepage could account for observed shrinkage rather than direct human elimination.
Notes climate change β driven by human activities β can cause large ecosystem and biodiversity impacts, implying human-driven climate factors could alter lake systems.
A student could extend this by checking whether regional climate change (temperature, precipitation) trends around Siberia could reduce inflows or increase evaporation at Lake Baikal.
- [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. The Aral Sea's collapse is arguably the most famous environmental geography fact of the 20th century, covered in NCERT Class XI/XII and every major current affairs magazine.
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: Human interference in Endorheic (closed) basins vs. Exorheic (open) seas. Understanding why closed loops are vulnerable to volume loss.
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the 'Drying List': Lake Chad (Africa - 90% gone), Lake Urmia (Iran), Dead Sea (receding), Owens Lake (USA). Contrast with 'Pollution List': Lake Baikal (Paper mills), Great Lakes (Eutrophication), Black Sea (Anoxic waters).
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: When studying major world lakes, tag them with their 'Crisis Type'. Is it Volume Loss (Aral/Chad) or Quality Loss (Baikal/Black Sea)? UPSC swaps these attributes to create traps.
The references explicitly list the Aral Sea as an example of a closed (endorheic) basin where water converges to an interior sink.
Understanding endorheic basins explains why some lakes (e.g., Aral Sea, Dead Sea) have no outlet and are highly sensitive to changes in inflow or evaporation β a high-yield concept for physical geography and water-resource questions. It connects to topics like basin hydrology, salinity buildup, and vulnerability to diversion or climate impacts; useful for explaining causes of lake shrinkage and for policy/mitigation questions in GS papers.
- Physical Geography by PMF IAS, Manjunath Thamminidi, PMF IAS (1st ed.) > Chapter 16: Fluvial Landforms and Cycle of Erosion > 16.3. Drainage Basin or River Basin > p. 208
Several references state that human activities now match or surpass natural agents in transforming the global environment and drive biodiversity/climate impacts.
This is core to environment sections of UPSC: linking anthropogenic causes to environmental outcomes (degradation, climate change, biodiversity loss) is frequently tested. Mastering this helps answer questions on causes, consequences, and policy responses (mitigation/adaptation) across GS papers and essays.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > ENVIRONMENTAL AWARENESS > p. 42
- Environment, Shankar IAS Acedemy .(ed 10th) > Chapter 20: Impact of Climate Change > 20.4" ECOSYSTEMS AND BIO.DIVERSITY > p. 276
References discuss historical river course shifts, river piracy and loss of feeder streams leading to drying (example: Saraswati drying), showing how diversion/loss of inflows dries river systems.
High-yield for physical and historical geography β explains mechanisms (natural and anthropogenic) by which rivers and dependent lakes shrink or disappear. It links fluvial geomorphology, water management, and historical land-use change and enables answers on causes of lake/river desiccation and related policy interventions.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 3: The Drainage System of India > SARASWATI-THE MYSTERY OF A LOST RIVER > p. 27
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 3: The Drainage System of India > SHIFTING COURSES OF THE RIVERS > p. 24
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 3: The Drainage System of India > SARASWATI-THE MYSTERY OF A LOST RIVER > p. 28
References state the Black Sea has very low salinity due to enormous freshwater influx from rivers, linking river discharge to sea properties.
High-yield for physical geography and environment topics: explains how river runoff controls salinity, stratification and ecosystem vulnerability of marginal seas. Helps evaluate claims about sea condition changes by comparing hydrological inputs vs other causes. Useful for questions on coastal processes, marine ecology and human impacts on river systems.
- FUNDAMENTALS OF PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY, Geography Class XI (NCERT 2025 ed.) > Chapter 12: Water (Oceans) > HORIZONTAL DISTRIBUTION OF SALINITY > p. 105
- Physical Geography by PMF IAS, Manjunath Thamminidi, PMF IAS (1st ed.) > Chapter 33: Ocean temperature and salinity > Marginal Seas > p. 519
Evidence notes the VolgaβDon (and VolgaβMoscow) canals connecting major rivers to the Black Sea region, showing direct human alteration of drainage/navigation.
Important for UPSC questions on human-environment interaction and infrastructure: demonstrates how canals change connectivity, navigation and potentially ecological flow between river basins and seas. Helps analyse pathways by which human activity could affect marginal seas (e.g., altered flows, invasive species, navigation impacts).
- FUNDAMENTALS OF HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, CLASS XII (NCERT 2025 ed.) > Chapter 7: Transport and Communication > The Volga Waterway > p. 65
References include (a) ancient formation and closure of seas in Miocene/Eocene, (b) historical recession due to uplift and sedimentation, and (c) a recent quantified shrinkage example (Bering Sea ~5% in 50 years).
Crucial for evaluating statements about 'recent' or 'human-driven' sea changes: trains aspirants to separate long-term geological processes from recent climatic or anthropogenic drivers and to demand appropriate evidence. Useful across GS papers for critically assessing environmental change claims and constructing balanced answers.
- Physical Geography by PMF IAS, Manjunath Thamminidi, PMF IAS (1st ed.) > Chapter 3: Geological Time Scale The Evolution of The Earths Surface > Miocene (23.03 mya to 5.33 mya) > p. 49
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 2: Physiography > 3. Recession of the Sea > p. 33
- Environment and Ecology, Majid Hussain (Access publishing 3rd ed.) > Chapter 7: Climate Change > evIdence of gloBal WarmIng. > p. 15
Lake Baikal is identified as a rift-valley lake and the world's deepest freshwater lake β understanding rift-lake origin explains its depth, volume and relative permanence.
High-yield for physical geography questions: explains why some lakes (e.g., Baikal) are exceptionally deep and long-lived, connects to tectonics and drainage topics, and helps evaluate claims about sudden disappearance of tectonic lakes. Learn by linking rift mechanics to lake morphology and permanence.
- Physical Geography by PMF IAS, Manjunath Thamminidi, PMF IAS (1st ed.) > Chapter 9: Divergent Boundary > Rift Valley Lakes > p. 128
Lake Chad. It has shrunk by ~90% since the 1960s due to irrigation and climate change, acting as the African equivalent to the Aral Sea disaster. Expect a question on the Sahel region's water crisis.
Apply Geographic Logic: The Black Sea is connected to the Mediterranean (and thus the global ocean). For it to 'dry up', the global sea level would have to drop. Lake Baikal holds 20% of Earth's fresh water; it is physically impossible for the world's deepest lake to vanish 'recently' without global apocalypse news. Only the Aral Sea (an inland, closed basin) is vulnerable to total drying.
International Relations (Central Asia): The Aral Sea crisis drives tension between upstream nations (Tajikistan/Kyrgyzstan controlling water for hydro) and downstream nations (Uzbekistan/Kazakhstan needing water for cotton). This is a key driver of Central Asian geopolitics.