Question map
Which among the following steps is most likely to be taken at the time of an economic recession?
Explanation
The correct answer is Option 2: Increase in expenditure on public projects.
During an economic recession, the primary objective of the government is to stimulate demand and boost economic activity. This is typically achieved through Expansionary Fiscal Policy. Increasing expenditure on public projects (like infrastructure) serves two main purposes:
- Multiplier Effect: Public spending injects liquidity into the economy, creating jobs and increasing the disposable income of citizens.
- Crowding-in Investment: Enhanced infrastructure lowers business costs, encouraging private investment.
Why other options are incorrect:
- Option 1 & 3: Increasing interest rates or tax rates are contractionary measures that reduce liquidity and discourage consumption, worsening a recession.
- Option 4: Reducing public expenditure (Austerity) further decreases aggregate demand, leading to a deeper economic slowdown.
Therefore, increasing public spending is the most effective counter-cyclical measure to revive growth.
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Guest previewThis is a classic 'Applied Macroeconomics' question. While the context was the 2020-21 COVID recession, the answer lies in static NCERT concepts (Keynesian theory). It tests if you understand the difference between Expansionary and Contractionary policy tools.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Are cuts in tax rates combined with increases in interest rates commonly implemented as policy responses during an economic recession?
- Statement 2: Are increases in government expenditure on public projects (fiscal stimulus) commonly implemented as a policy response during an economic recession?
- Statement 3: Are increases in tax rates combined with reductions in interest rates commonly implemented as policy responses during an economic recession?
- Statement 4: Are reductions in government expenditure on public projects commonly implemented as a policy response during an economic recession?
- Explicitly notes that governments have implemented cuts in tax rates (both personal and corporate).
- Shows that tax-rate cuts are a recognized policy change, relevant to the question's tax-rate half.
- Describes that many countries have already implemented historically low or near-zero interest rates.
- Implies that policy responses to downturns tend to lower interest rates rather than raise them.
- Gives concrete examples of central banks cutting policy interest rates in response to a slowing economy.
- Provides direct evidence that interest-rate cuts, not increases, are used as a policy response during downturns.
Shows that 'cutting the tax rates' is listed as a possible part of a fiscal stimulus during a recession (question item about fiscal stimulus actions).
A student can take this rule (tax cuts = expansionary fiscal tool) and check historical recession policies to see if tax cuts were used.
States that tax decreases 'soften the recession' as an expansionary fiscal policy, linking tax cuts to recession-fighting policy.
Combine with basic knowledge that policymakers aim to boost demand in recessions to infer tax cuts are a common response.
Lists 'lowering interest rates' among tactics to stimulate an economy during a recession (as part of fiscal/monetary stimulus mix).
Contrast this with the idea of 'increasing interest rates' to judge whether rate hikes align with typical recession stimulus.
Explains central bank behaviour in recessions: the repo rate is reduced to increase money supply and push demand, implying rate cuts (not increases) are used to combat recessions.
Use the standard fact that central banks control policy rates to infer that increasing interest rates would be counter‑to this described practice.
Describes 'counter‑cyclical' fiscal policy where governments increase expenditure during recessions (supports that expansionary fiscal measures like tax cuts/spending rises are applied in downturns).
Combine with the tax‑cut rule to expect fiscal stimulus (tax cuts + spending increases) and compare this to monetary policy actions to evaluate the consistency of rate increases in recessions.
- Defines fiscal stimulus as government attempts to financially stimulate the economy during a recession.
- Lists increasing government spending as a specific tactic used to implement fiscal stimulus.
- Describes counter-cyclical fiscal policy where the government makes excess expenditure during recessions.
- Explicitly states greater public expenditure and job creation are paramount in economic recession.
- Explains 'pump priming' as decreasing taxes and increasing government spending to boost demand.
- Shows the mechanism by which higher government expenditure rekindles business activity in a slowdown.
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- Gives concrete examples of policy interest-rate cuts taken in response to slowing economic activity.
- Shows that reductions in policy interest rates are a common monetary response to economic downturns.
- Documents a broad, historical trend of declining statutory corporate tax rates (i.e., tax-rate reductions).
- Implies that tax policy in many countries tends toward cutting rates rather than increasing them.
- States explicitly that reductions in marginal tax rates were used historically (not increases).
- Reinforces that tax-policy responses documented in the sources are cuts, not rises, contrasting with the statement's premise.
Defines fiscal stimulus and lists typical tactics to kickstart growth in a recession, including lowering interest rates and government spending (and reducing taxes).
A student could note that lowering interest rates is a common recession response, so pairing that with an observed opposite tax move (tax increases) would be atypical and worth investigating against country practice.
Explains that tax decreases and higher expenditure soften recessions (expansionary), whereas tax increases deepen recessions (contractionary).
Using this rule, a student could infer that raising tax rates during recession would usually be counterproductive, so combined with rate cuts it would be a mixed/contradictory policy mix to verify with empirical examples.
Describes central bank behaviour in recession: reducing repo/interest rates to increase money supply and push demand.
A student could treat interest-rate cuts as a standard monetary response and then compare whether fiscal policy in practice (tax hikes vs. cuts) typically aligns or contradicts that monetary stance in historical recessions.
Articulates the counter‑cyclical fiscal policy principle: governments should increase public spending during recessions and tighten during booms (implying restraint, not tax hikes, during downturns).
A student could apply the counter‑cyclical norm to expect tax cuts or increased spending in recessions, making tax increases paired with rate cuts appear inconsistent with the norm and prompting examination of exceptions.
Defines 'fiscal drag' and notes that increases in taxes reduce aggregate demand and act as a drag on the economy.
A student can combine this with the fact that recessions involve weak demand to reason that raising taxes during a recession would normally worsen demand, so observing tax rises with rate cuts would be a policy mismatch to investigate.
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- Explicitly states that reductions in real government spending have been common and that many were "prompted by economic crises."
- Directly links economic crises to genuine cuts in government expenditure rather than just reallocation.
- Describes fiscal tightening during crises that operates through reduced expenditure on public sector wages, benefits, and social spending.
- Shows specific categories of public spending that are cut as part of policy responses.
- Provides concrete examples of post-crisis spending cuts, including cuts in government consumption and public investment and reductions in transfers and pensions.
- Quantifies the magnitude of spending cuts implemented in the aftermath of economic downturns (e.g., 2.9 percent of GDP between 2010–2014).
States the concept of counter‑cyclical fiscal policy: governments make excess expenditure during recessions and restrain expenditure in booms.
A student could combine this with basic knowledge of recessions to infer that cutting public projects is not the typical response in a recession.
Notes that fiscal policy is more effective in recessions and that a counter‑cyclical stance (increasing spending in downturns) stabilizes output.
Using this rule, one could judge that reducing public project spending would contradict the effective counter‑cyclical approach during a recession.
Defines fiscal stimulus as actions to kickstart growth in a recession, including increasing government spending.
A student could use this example of stimulus tools to expect spending increases rather than reductions on public projects in recessions.
Lists reducing public expenditure (e.g., rationalising subsidies, cutting revenue expenditure) as a measure to check fiscal deficit.
Combined with knowledge that some governments prioritise debt sustainability, one could infer that spending cuts may be used even in recessions under fiscal constraints.
On fiscal consolidation it warns that reduction in fiscal deficit should not be achieved by cutting capital expenditure (i.e., public investment).
A student could extend this to reason that while cuts to some expenditures occur, cuts to public projects (capital spending) are discouraged even when consolidating, so reductions may be uncommon or targeted elsewhere.
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- [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. Directly solvable from NCERT Class XII Macroeconomics (Chapter 5) or Vivek Singh/Singhania under 'Fiscal Policy'.
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy. The Economic Survey 2020-21 heavily emphasized that during a slowdown, the Govt must spend more (counter-cyclical) rather than tighten the belt.
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the 'Recession Toolkit': 1. Fiscal: Increase Spending, Cut Taxes (Deficit Financing). 2. Monetary: Cut Repo/CRR/SLR, Open Market Operations (Buy Bonds). 3. Concepts: Fiscal Multiplier (Spending > Tax cuts), Liquidity Trap (when rate cuts fail), Crowding In (Govt spending boosting private inv in recession).
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Stop memorizing definitions. Start role-playing. Ask: 'If I were the RBI Governor or Finance Minister today, what buttons would I press to boost demand?' Map every tool (Repo, Tax, Expenditure) to its impact on Aggregate Demand.
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Cutting taxes is used as a fiscal tool to boost aggregate demand and soften a recession.
High-yield for UPSC: appears in questions on fiscal policy, budgetary responses to downturns and public finance trade-offs. Connects to debates on deficit management, stimulus composition (tax cuts vs. spending), and counter-cyclical policy. Useful for answering policy-evaluation and recommendation questions.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Fiscal Policy can be either expansionary or contractionary. > p. 155
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy > p. 124
Central banks typically reduce policy (repo) rates to increase money supply and stimulate demand during a recession.
Essential for monetary policy and macroeconomics questions: explains transmission to lending rates, effects on investment and consumption, and interaction with fiscal measures. Enables analysis of coordinated monetary–fiscal responses and limits of monetary policy in liquidity traps.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.28 Liquidity Trap > p. 111
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > Transmission of Repo Rate into Lending Rate > p. 89
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Fiscal Stimulus > p. 117
Governments adopt higher public expenditure and job-creation measures in recessions and tighten in booms to smooth cycles.
Core for UPSC: links fiscal strategy to debt sustainability, growth and employment policy. Helps answer questions on Economic Survey recommendations, IRGD (interest rate–growth differential), and designing stimulus packages.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy > p. 124
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Findings from previous years Economic Surveys > p. 159
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Debt > p. 80
Counter-cyclical fiscal policy requires the government to increase spending during recessions and tighten during booms.
High-yield for UPSC: essential for questions on macroeconomic stabilisation and budgetary stance. Connects to topics like fiscal consolidation, business cycles, and public debt management; enables analysis of when to expand or contract government spending.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy > p. 124
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Findings from previous years Economic Surveys > p. 159
Fiscal stimulus or pump-priming uses higher public expenditure and tax cuts to boost aggregate demand in a recession.
Frequently tested in policy-response questions and essays; links Keynesian policy to practical budget measures and public investment programmes. Helps frame specific policy prescriptions and evaluate trade-offs.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Fiscal Stimulus > p. 117
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Fiscal Policy can be either expansionary or contractionary. > p. 154
Fiscal multipliers tend to be larger during crises, making government expenditure more effective in stimulating growth in recessions.
Important for evaluating the size and expected impact of stimulus packages; connects macroeconomic theory to empirical policy outcomes and assessment of fiscal interventions.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Findings from previous years Economic Surveys > p. 159
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Debt > p. 80
Governments adopt counter‑cyclical fiscal measures—higher spending during recessions and restraint during booms—rather than raising taxes in downturns.
High‑yield for UPSC: explains government behaviour in crises (e.g., stimulus vs consolidation), links public finance to macroeconomic stabilisation, and helps answer policy‑oriented essays and mains questions on fiscal responses to downturns.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy > p. 124
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Fiscal Policy can be either expansionary or contractionary. > p. 155
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The 'Liquidity Trap'. Since this question covers standard recession response, the logical sibling is the scenario where this response FAILS—i.e., when interest rates are near zero but demand doesn't pick up (Keynesian Liquidity Trap).
The 'Brake vs. Accelerator' Logic. Recession means the car has stopped. You need the accelerator.
Option A: Accelerator (Tax cut) + Brake (Rate hike). Contradictory.
Option C: Brake (Tax hike) + Accelerator (Rate cut). Contradictory.
Option D: Brake (Cut spending). Suicidal.
Option B: Accelerator (Increase spending). Pure acceleration. Pick the option with consistent direction.
Mains GS3 (Fiscal Policy): Link this to the 'Escape Clause' in the FRBM Act. The Act allows the government to breach fiscal deficit targets during 'structural collapse' or 'national calamity'—exactly to fund the 'Increase in expenditure' mentioned in Option B.
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