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Q40 (IAS/2021) Economy › Money, Banking & Inflation › Inflation and policy Official Key

Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effects?

Result
Your answer: —  Âˇ  Correct: D
Explanation

The correct answer is Option 4: Creation of new money to finance a budget deficit.

Inflations occurs when the money supply grows faster than the economy's output of goods and services. Here is why the options differ in their impact:

  • Option 4 (Correct): Also known as "deficit financing" or "monetizing the debt," this involves the central bank printing new currency. This directly increases the total money supply in the economy without reducing purchasing power elsewhere, leading to "too much money chasing too few goods," which is highly inflationary.
  • Options 2 and 3: Borrowing from the public or commercial banks merely transfers existing money from private hands to the government. Since the total money supply remains relatively constant, the inflationary pressure is significantly lower.
  • Option 1: Repayment of debt puts money back into the hands of the public, but it is generally less inflationary than the creation of entirely new currency.

Therefore, Option 4 is the most inflationary as it results in a net increase in the high-powered money base of the economy.

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Q. Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effects? [A] Repayment of public debt [B] Borrowing from the pu…
At a glance
Origin: Mixed / unclear origin Fairness: Moderate fairness Books / CA: 7.5/10 ¡ 0/10
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This is a fundamental static concept from NCERT Macroeconomics (Class XII). It tests the hierarchy of money supply expansion mechanisms. If you understand the difference between 'transferring' existing purchasing power (borrowing) and 'creating' new purchasing power (printing), this is a 10-second sitter.

How this question is built

This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.

Statement 1
Is repayment of public debt inflationary in its effects in the context of government fiscal operations?
Origin: Weak / unclear Fairness: Borderline / guessy
Indirect textbook clues
Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > 4.8 Perspectives on Deficit and Debt > p. 158
Strength: 5/5
“One of the main criticisms of deficits is that they are inflationary. This is because when government increases spending or cut taxes, aggregate demand increases. Firms may not be able to supply/produce higher quantities that are being demanded at the ongoing prices, resulting in an increase in price. However, if there are unutilised resources in the economy and the output is held back by lack of demand then a higher fiscal deficit will be accompanied by higher demand and higher supply/output and therefore it may not be inflationary. If the economy is in boom phase and the economic resources are fully utilized then if government incurs fiscal deficit, there is a decrease in private investment due to reduction in the amount of savings available to the private sector.”
Why relevant

Gives the general rule that fiscal deficits are inflationary because higher government spending raises aggregate demand, but notes inflationary effects depend on resource utilisation (idle resources reduce inflationary pressure).

How to extend

A student could extend this by asking whether debt repayment (which reduces future deficit or withdraws demand) would lower aggregate demand and thus be less or non‑inflationary, especially when resources are fully utilised.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > IMPLICATIONS OF FISCAL DEFICIT > p. 111
Strength: 5/5
“• It implies greater borrowings by the Central Government. Borrowings from RBI raise the money supply in the economy, which results in rise in the general price level over a period of time. This leads to inflationary spiral.• Its affects GDP growth as a significant amount of budgeted revenue is spent on the payment of interest on borrowings by the Central Government, thus resulting in reduced investment.”
Why relevant

States that borrowings from the RBI raise the money supply and cause rising price levels (an inflationary channel).

How to extend

One can infer the reverse: if repayment reduces RBI/central bank financing, it may contract money supply and thus be disinflationary — testable by checking financing source during repayment.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Gross fiscal deficit = Net borrowing at home + Borrowing from RBI + Borrowing from abroad > p. 72
Strength: 4/5
“Net borrowing at home includes that directly borrowed from the public through debt instruments (for example, the various small savings schemes) and indirectly from commercial banks through Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR). The gross fiscal deficit is a key variable in judging the financial health of the public sector and the stability of the economy. From the way gross fiscal deficit is measured as given above, it can be seen that revenue deficit is a part of fiscal deficit (Fiscal Deficit = Revenue Deficit + Capital Expenditure - non-debt creating capital receipts). A large share of revenue deficit in fiscal deficit indicated that a large part of borrowing is being used to meet its consumption expenditure needs rather than investment.”
Why relevant

Breaks down gross fiscal deficit into net borrowing at home, borrowing from RBI and abroad, highlighting different instruments/sources of government finance.

How to extend

A student could use this to examine which component is being repaid (e.g., RBI vs public) since repaying central‑bank debt has different monetary effects than repaying debt held by the public.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c} > p. 79
Strength: 3/5
“• 6. Which one of the following is likely to be the most inflationary in its effect? • (a) Repayment of public debt • (b) Borrowing from the public to finance a budget deficit • (c) Borrowings from banks to finance a budget deficit • (d) Creating new money to finance a budget deficit • 7. Economic growth is usually coupled with • (a) Deflation (b) Inflation• (c) Stagflation (d) Hyperinflation.• 8. A rapid increase in inflation is sometimes attributed to the 'base effect'.”
Why relevant

Presents a standard exam question listing repayment of public debt among options about what is most inflationary, implying conventional comparisons among repayment, public borrowing, bank borrowing and money creation.

How to extend

A student could use typical answer logic (money creation most inflationary) to infer repayment is generally not viewed as the most inflationary and thus may be neutral or deflationary relative to those alternatives.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 15: Budget and Economic Survey > Indirect Taxes > p. 452
Strength: 3/5
“In combination with the still-existing supply disruptions and constraints, the overheating of the economy led to inflationary pressures. While a sudden withdrawal may have costs for medium-term growth, a slow withdrawal may be inflationary and hence put upward pressure on yields, making the debt costly.• 13. Major reforms in the Union budget over the last few years: • Improved fiscal transparency and realistic revenue assumptions in the Budget (No Extra Budgetary Resources were estimated for FY 23 in the Budget)• Discontinuation of Plan and Non-plan classification• Merger of railway budget with the main budget• Shifting the date of budget to 1 February”
Why relevant

Notes that policy withdrawal speed matters: slow withdrawal of stimulus may be inflationary and push up yields, linking fiscal stance changes to inflation and debt costs.

How to extend

Extend by considering repayment as a form of fiscal withdrawal; examine whether rapid vs slow repayment would differently affect inflation and yields in practice.

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Statement analysis

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