Question map
With reference to Indian economy, consider the following statements : 1. The rate of growth of Real Gross Domestic Product has steadily increased in the last decade. 2. The Gross Domestic Product at market prices (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
Explanation
The correct answer is option B - statement 2 only is correct.
**Statement 1 is incorrect**: The rate of growth of Real GDP did NOT increase steadily during 2005-2014. India experienced significant fluctuations in growth rates during this period. The economy achieved high growth rates of around 9-10% during 2005-2007, but then faced a sharp slowdown due to the global financial crisis of 2008-09. Growth rates declined to around 6.7% in 2008-09 and further decelerated to below 5% during 2012-13 and 2013-14. This clearly shows the growth rate was volatile, not steadily increasing.
**Statement 2 is correct**: Nominal GDP at market prices (measured in rupees) did increase steadily year-on-year throughout the decade. Even when real GDP growth slowed down, nominal GDP continued to rise due to the combination of positive (though fluctuating) real growth and inflation. Nominal GDP accounts for both quantity changes and price changes, so it typically shows a consistent upward trend even during periods of economic slowdown, as long as there is positive growth and inflation.
The key distinction is between the "rate of growth" (which fluctuated) versus the absolute "value" of nominal GDP (which rose steadily).
Sources- [1] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
- [2] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
- [3] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewThis is a classic 'Trend vs. Fluctuation' trap. The exam tests if you understand the difference between a variable rising (Level) and its speed of rising (Rate). Strategy: In a developing economy, absolute numbers (Nominal GDP) usually go up, but rates (Growth %) always fluctuate due to business cycles.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: For the Indian economy, did the annual rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Product (real GDP) increase steadily year-on-year during the decade 2005–2014 (the ten years preceding 2015)?
- Statement 2: For the Indian economy, did Gross Domestic Product at market prices measured in rupees increase steadily year-on-year during the decade 2005–2014 (the ten years preceding 2015)?
Gives a clear example and rule: real GDP level can rise steadily while the percentage change (growth rate) falls (11.2% → 4.6%).
A student could apply this distinction to 2005–2014 year‑by‑year data to check whether growth rates rose or fell even if output levels rose.
Provides a numeric example where real GDP increases across years but growth rates decline (8%, 3.7%, 2.7%), illustrating a growth‑slowdown pattern.
Compare the 2005–2014 sequence of annual growth rates to see if they show a similar monotonic rise or the opposite slowdown.
Notes a change in GDP computation methodology around 2015 (factor cost → market prices), signalling that measurement conventions may affect comparability across periods.
When examining 2005–2014 growth rates, ensure the student uses consistently computed series (or adjusts for methodological breaks) before judging steadiness.
Shows this exact proposition appears as an exam-style statement ('The rate of growth of Real GDP has steadily increased in the last decade'), implying it is a commonly questioned/contestable claim.
Use the hint that the claim is contested to motivate checking actual year‑wise growth figures for 2005–2014 rather than assuming it true.
Another past-question framing the proposition for a five‑year period, indicating test writers treat 'steady increase in growth rate' as a distinct, checkable property.
Extend the same approach used for five‑year checks to the full 2005–2014 period: obtain annual growth rates and test if each year exceeds the previous.
Gives an example where Real GDP was steadily increasing over several years and explicitly states 'same is true for nominal GDP also' (i.e., level can rise even if growth rates fall).
A student could use this pattern to infer that checking year-by-year nominal GDP levels (not growth rates) from official series would test whether levels rose every year 2005–2014.
Contains an exam question that explicitly asks whether 'The GDP at MP (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade', showing this is a commonly debated/checked factual claim about decadal nominal series.
A student could take this prompt as guidance to look up the official annual nominal GDP (MP, rupees) time series for the relevant decade to verify year-on-year increases.
Explains that prior to 2015 NSO used factor cost rather than market prices and that methodology was changed in 2015 to align with market-price reporting.
A student should therefore be cautious about pre-2015 series comparability and seek the correct (market-price) series or apply adjustments when assembling 2005–2014 nominal MP data.
Defines GDP at market price (GDP_MP) and its relation to GDP at factor cost (GDP_MP = GDP_FC + indirect taxes - subsidies), clarifying what 'GDP at market prices in rupees' refers to.
Using this definition, a student can ensure they retrieve the exact series (GDP at MP) rather than factor-cost or GVA series when checking year-by-year levels 2005–2014.
Notes that CSO reported GDP at factor cost and at market prices and that in the January 2015 revision GVA at basic prices replaced GDP at factor cost, highlighting revisions and label changes around 2015.
A student should account for statistical revisions (and possible rebasing) when assembling a consistent nominal MP series across 2005–2014 and prefer the official GDP-at-market-prices series post any revision.
- [THE VERDICT]: Conceptual Trap. Solvable not by memorizing 10 years of data, but by applying the 'Business Cycle' logic found in NCERT Macroeconomics or the Economic Survey.
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: National Income Accounting → Distinction between 'Level of GDP' (Absolute) and 'Rate of Growth' (Percentage change).
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the behavior of key indicators: (1) Nominal GDP (Always rises unless recession); (2) Real GDP Growth Rate (Fluctuates/Cyclical); (3) Tax-to-GDP Ratio (Fluctuates); (4) Fiscal Deficit (Fluctuates); (5) Savings & Investment Rates (Rose till 2011, then declined/stagnated – never 'steady').
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: When you see 'last decade', ask: Did a global crisis happen? (e.g., 2008 Global Financial Crisis). If yes, growth rates likely dipped, making any claim of 'steady increase' in *rate* mathematically impossible.
Understanding which series (real/nominal) measures economic growth is essential to judge changes in output over time; references discuss real GDP and base-year conversion.
High-yield for UPSC: questions often ask how growth is measured and why constant-price (real) series matter. Connects to inflation, base-year revision and comparison across years. Prepare by mastering definitions, base-year concept, and practice applying them to growth-rate interpretation.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > Real versus Nominal GDP > p. 8
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
References explicitly show examples where real GDP (the level) increases across years while the year-on-year growth rate declines — central to assessing whether growth 'increased steadily'.
Crucial for UPSC mains/MCQs: candidates must distinguish rising output from rising growth rates; many questions probe slowdown vs recession. Study by comparing series and computing percentage changes; practice interpreting tables/graphs.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.14 Potential GDP > p. 23
Knowing methodological differences matters when comparing growth rates across periods that span a change in computation (pre-2015 vs post-2015), which affects time-series consistency.
Relevant for policy/economy questions and data interpretation in UPSC: examiners test awareness of statistical revisions and their impact. Learn the methodological shift, its implications, and note caution when comparing series across revision years.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 20
The statement asks about GDP 'measured in rupees' (nominal/GDP at market prices) versus trends in real GDP; several references clarify the difference and importance of using constant vs current prices.
UPSC questions often probe growth rates versus level-series and the distinction between nominal and real measures. Mastering this helps interpret whether an increase in rupee terms reflects real expansion or price effects, and prevents misreading time-series trends. Prepare by practising calculations of nominal-to-real conversions and by studying examples of how growth rates and levels behave differently.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 17
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
The evidence notes a methodological change around 2015 (use of market prices, GVA, and replacement of factor cost series), which affects continuity and comparability of GDP series across the period in question.
Understanding methodological revisions is high-yield for UPSC because it affects how you interpret historical series, official announcements, and comparability across years. Questions may ask about implications of base-year changes, series breaks, or why apparent trends may change after revisions. Study official CSO/NSO revision notes and practice explaining implications for trend analysis.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2.4 Factor Cost, Basic Prices and Market Prices > p. 24
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > Mains Questions: > p. 36
References explain that GDP at market prices = GDP at factor cost + indirect taxes − subsidies; this matters when comparing series labelled differently or measured 'in rupees'.
Frequently tested in national income/accounting questions, this concept helps candidates correctly convert and compare aggregates reported in different conventions and to spot why reported rupee-levels may differ. Learn formulae and practice converting between FC, MP, NDP and GNP to answer calculation and conceptual questions confidently.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > Eight (08) Measures or Aggregates of National Income: 1. GDP extsubscript{MP} = Gross Domestic Product at Market Price. 2. GDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 3. NDP extsubscript{MP} = Net Domestic Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Depreciation 4. NDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost = NDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 5. GNP extsubscript{MP} = Gross National Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} + NFIA 6 > p. 10
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2.4 Factor Cost, Basic Prices and Market Prices > p. 24
The 'Savings Rate' and 'Investment Rate' (Gross Capital Formation). UPSC often asks if these have steadily increased. They have NOT; they peaked around 2011-12 and have seen declines since. This is the logical sibling to the GDP trend question.
The 'Derivative' Hack: If the statement talks about a 'Rate' (1st derivative) increasing steadily for 10 years, mark it FALSE immediately (economies are cyclical). If it talks about an 'Absolute Value' (Nominal GDP, Population) increasing, mark it TRUE (unless there was a war or pandemic).
Mains GS-3 (Inclusive Growth): High Nominal GDP growth (Statement 2) with fluctuating Real Growth (Statement 1) implies Inflation. This links to the 'Cost of Living' crisis, where the economy looks big in Rupees, but purchasing power isn't growing as fast.