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Q81 (IAS/2015) Economy › Basic Concepts & National Income › Economic growth indicators Official Key

With reference to Indian economy, consider the following statements : 1. The rate of growth of Real Gross Domestic Product has steadily increased in the last decade. 2. The Gross Domestic Product at market prices (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

Result
Your answer:  ·  Correct: B
Explanation

The correct answer is option B - statement 2 only is correct.

**Statement 1 is incorrect**: The rate of growth of Real GDP did NOT increase steadily during 2005-2014. India experienced significant fluctuations in growth rates during this period. The economy achieved high growth rates of around 9-10% during 2005-2007, but then faced a sharp slowdown due to the global financial crisis of 2008-09. Growth rates declined to around 6.7% in 2008-09 and further decelerated to below 5% during 2012-13 and 2013-14. This clearly shows the growth rate was volatile, not steadily increasing.

**Statement 2 is correct**: Nominal GDP at market prices (measured in rupees) did increase steadily year-on-year throughout the decade. Even when real GDP growth slowed down, nominal GDP continued to rise due to the combination of positive (though fluctuating) real growth and inflation. Nominal GDP accounts for both quantity changes and price changes, so it typically shows a consistent upward trend even during periods of economic slowdown, as long as there is positive growth and inflation.

The key distinction is between the "rate of growth" (which fluctuated) versus the absolute "value" of nominal GDP (which rose steadily).

Sources
  1. [1] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
  2. [2] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
  3. [3] https://data360files.worldbank.org/data360-data/data/IMF_WEO/IMF_WEO_NID_NGDP.csv
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Don’t just practise – reverse-engineer the question. This panel shows where this PYQ came from (books / web), how the examiner broke it into hidden statements, and which nearby micro-concepts you were supposed to learn from it. Treat it like an autopsy of the question: what might have triggered it, which exact lines in the book matter, and what linked ideas you should carry forward to future questions.
Q. With reference to Indian economy, consider the following statements : 1. The rate of growth of Real Gross Domestic Product has steadily …
At a glance
Origin: Mixed / unclear origin Fairness: Low / Borderline fairness Books / CA: 0/10 · 0/10

This is a classic 'Trend vs. Fluctuation' trap. The exam tests if you understand the difference between a variable rising (Level) and its speed of rising (Rate). Strategy: In a developing economy, absolute numbers (Nominal GDP) usually go up, but rates (Growth %) always fluctuate due to business cycles.

How this question is built

This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.

Statement 1
For the Indian economy, did the annual rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Product (real GDP) increase steadily year-on-year during the decade 2005–2014 (the ten years preceding 2015)?
Origin: Weak / unclear Fairness: Borderline / guessy
Indirect textbook clues
Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
Strength: 5/5
“So, economic growth from 2011-12 to 2012-13 will be measured by change in Real GDP (and not nominal GDP) which is 11.2 % In the above example, Real GDP is steadily/consistently increasing from 2011-12 to 2014- 15 but "change in real GDP" is decreasing from 11.2% to 4.6%. (And same is true for nominal GDP also). Above is a case of economic growth as real GDP is increasing. To calculate GDP at market prices, first we calculate GDP at factor cost/basic prices and then we separately add the governments total indirect taxes including both GST and non-GST tax revenue of Central and State governments.”
Why relevant

Gives a clear example and rule: real GDP level can rise steadily while the percentage change (growth rate) falls (11.2% → 4.6%).

How to extend

A student could apply this distinction to 2005–2014 year‑by‑year data to check whether growth rates rose or fell even if output levels rose.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.14 Potential GDP > p. 23
Strength: 5/5
“Let us take an example to understand recession. • Year: Real GDP; 2012: Rs.100; Col3: ; 2013: Rs.108; Col5: ; 2014: Rs.112; Col7: ; 2015: Rs.115 • Year: Real GDP growth; 2012: ; Col3: 8%; 2013: ; Col5: 3.7%; 2014: ; Col7: 2.7%; 2015: In the above example the country is not going through any recession as real GDP (output) of the economy is still increasing even if the growth rate of GDP is decreasing. The recession occurs when the growth rate of GDP becomes negative or output starts decreasing. The above is a case of economic (growth) slowdown and not recession.”
Why relevant

Provides a numeric example where real GDP increases across years but growth rates decline (8%, 3.7%, 2.7%), illustrating a growth‑slowdown pattern.

How to extend

Compare the 2005–2014 sequence of annual growth rates to see if they show a similar monotonic rise or the opposite slowdown.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
Strength: 4/5
“And if we want to calculate the Nominal GDP of 2014-15 then we will have to take the quantities produced in 2014-15 and the market prices of the same year i.e., 2014-15. Before 2015, NSO was not using market prices to calculate GDP, rather it was using Factor Cost i.e., Market Price excluding indirect taxes and subsidies. Now, as per the global best practices and the IMF's World Economic Outlook projections based on GDP at market prices, India has changed its methodology of GDP calculation at market prices. In India, economic growth is measured by real GDP i.e., GDP at constant Market Prices.”
Why relevant

Notes a change in GDP computation methodology around 2015 (factor cost → market prices), signalling that measurement conventions may affect comparability across periods.

How to extend

When examining 2005–2014 growth rates, ensure the student uses consistently computed series (or adjusts for methodological breaks) before judging steadiness.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > 2015 > p. 19
Strength: 3/5
“• 4. With reference to Indian economy, consider the following statements: • 1. The rate of growth of Real GDP has steadily increased in the last decade. • 2. The GDP at MP (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade. Which of the statements given above is/are correct? • (a) 1 only• (c) Both 1 and 2 • (b) 2 only• (d) Neither 1 nor 2 \begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c}} • 5. Economic growth in country X will necessarily have to occur if • (a) there is technical progress in the world economy. • (b) there is population growth in X. • (c) there is capital formation in X. • (d) the volume of trade grows in the world economy.”
Why relevant

Shows this exact proposition appears as an exam-style statement ('The rate of growth of Real GDP has steadily increased in the last decade'), implying it is a commonly questioned/contestable claim.

How to extend

Use the hint that the claim is contested to motivate checking actual year‑wise growth figures for 2005–2014 rather than assuming it true.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.19 Previous Years Questions > p. 34
Strength: 3/5
“In the context of Indian economy, consider the following statements: [2011] • (i) The growth rate of GDP has steadily increased in the last five years• (ii) The growth rate in per capita income has steadily increased in the last five years Which of the following statements given above is/are correct? • (a) (i) only• (b) (ii) only• (c) Both (i) & (ii)• (d) Neither (i) nor (ii)• 4. Economic growth in country X will necessarily have to occur if [2013] • (a) There is technical progress in the world economy• (b) There is population growth in X• (c) There is capital formation in X• (d) The volume of trade grows in world economy• 5.”
Why relevant

Another past-question framing the proposition for a five‑year period, indicating test writers treat 'steady increase in growth rate' as a distinct, checkable property.

How to extend

Extend the same approach used for five‑year checks to the full 2005–2014 period: obtain annual growth rates and test if each year exceeds the previous.

Statement 2
For the Indian economy, did Gross Domestic Product at market prices measured in rupees increase steadily year-on-year during the decade 2005–2014 (the ten years preceding 2015)?
Origin: Weak / unclear Fairness: Borderline / guessy
Indirect textbook clues
Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
Strength: 5/5
“So, economic growth from 2011-12 to 2012-13 will be measured by change in Real GDP (and not nominal GDP) which is 11.2 % In the above example, Real GDP is steadily/consistently increasing from 2011-12 to 2014- 15 but "change in real GDP" is decreasing from 11.2% to 4.6%. (And same is true for nominal GDP also). Above is a case of economic growth as real GDP is increasing. To calculate GDP at market prices, first we calculate GDP at factor cost/basic prices and then we separately add the governments total indirect taxes including both GST and non-GST tax revenue of Central and State governments.”
Why relevant

Gives an example where Real GDP was steadily increasing over several years and explicitly states 'same is true for nominal GDP also' (i.e., level can rise even if growth rates fall).

How to extend

A student could use this pattern to infer that checking year-by-year nominal GDP levels (not growth rates) from official series would test whether levels rose every year 2005–2014.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > 2015 > p. 19
Strength: 4/5
“• 4. With reference to Indian economy, consider the following statements: • 1. The rate of growth of Real GDP has steadily increased in the last decade. • 2. The GDP at MP (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade. Which of the statements given above is/are correct? • (a) 1 only• (c) Both 1 and 2 • (b) 2 only• (d) Neither 1 nor 2 \begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c}} • 5. Economic growth in country X will necessarily have to occur if • (a) there is technical progress in the world economy. • (b) there is population growth in X. • (c) there is capital formation in X. • (d) the volume of trade grows in the world economy.”
Why relevant

Contains an exam question that explicitly asks whether 'The GDP at MP (in rupees) has steadily increased in the last decade', showing this is a commonly debated/checked factual claim about decadal nominal series.

How to extend

A student could take this prompt as guidance to look up the official annual nominal GDP (MP, rupees) time series for the relevant decade to verify year-on-year increases.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
Strength: 4/5
“And if we want to calculate the Nominal GDP of 2014-15 then we will have to take the quantities produced in 2014-15 and the market prices of the same year i.e., 2014-15. Before 2015, NSO was not using market prices to calculate GDP, rather it was using Factor Cost i.e., Market Price excluding indirect taxes and subsidies. Now, as per the global best practices and the IMF's World Economic Outlook projections based on GDP at market prices, India has changed its methodology of GDP calculation at market prices. In India, economic growth is measured by real GDP i.e., GDP at constant Market Prices.”
Why relevant

Explains that prior to 2015 NSO used factor cost rather than market prices and that methodology was changed in 2015 to align with market-price reporting.

How to extend

A student should therefore be cautious about pre-2015 series comparability and seek the correct (market-price) series or apply adjustments when assembling 2005–2014 nominal MP data.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > Eight (08) Measures or Aggregates of National Income: 1. GDP extsubscript{MP} = Gross Domestic Product at Market Price. 2. GDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 3. NDP extsubscript{MP} = Net Domestic Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Depreciation 4. NDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost = NDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 5. GNP extsubscript{MP} = Gross National Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} + NFIA 6 > p. 10
Strength: 4/5
“1.10 Indian Economy”
Why relevant

Defines GDP at market price (GDP_MP) and its relation to GDP at factor cost (GDP_MP = GDP_FC + indirect taxes - subsidies), clarifying what 'GDP at market prices in rupees' refers to.

How to extend

Using this definition, a student can ensure they retrieve the exact series (GDP at MP) rather than factor-cost or GVA series when checking year-by-year levels 2005–2014.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2.4 Factor Cost, Basic Prices and Market Prices > p. 24
Strength: 3/5
“In India, the most highlighted measure of national income has been the GDP at factor cost. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) of the Government of India has been reporting the GDP at factor cost and at market prices. In its revision in January 2015 the CSO replaced GDP at factor cost with the GVA at basic prices, and the GDP at market prices, which is now called only GDP, is now the most highlighted measure. The idea of GVA has already been discussed: it is the value of total output produced in the economy less the value of intermediate consumption (the output which is used in production of output further, and not used in final consumption).”
Why relevant

Notes that CSO reported GDP at factor cost and at market prices and that in the January 2015 revision GVA at basic prices replaced GDP at factor cost, highlighting revisions and label changes around 2015.

How to extend

A student should account for statistical revisions (and possible rebasing) when assembling a consistent nominal MP series across 2005–2014 and prefer the official GDP-at-market-prices series post any revision.

Pattern takeaway: UPSC uses the word 'steadily' or 'continuously' as a filter. For economic *rates* (growth, inflation, deficit), 'steadily' is 99% False. For economic *aggregates* (Total GDP, Population, Money Supply), 'steadily' is often True in a developing country context.
How you should have studied
  1. [THE VERDICT]: Conceptual Trap. Solvable not by memorizing 10 years of data, but by applying the 'Business Cycle' logic found in NCERT Macroeconomics or the Economic Survey.
  2. [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: National Income Accounting → Distinction between 'Level of GDP' (Absolute) and 'Rate of Growth' (Percentage change).
  3. [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the behavior of key indicators: (1) Nominal GDP (Always rises unless recession); (2) Real GDP Growth Rate (Fluctuates/Cyclical); (3) Tax-to-GDP Ratio (Fluctuates); (4) Fiscal Deficit (Fluctuates); (5) Savings & Investment Rates (Rose till 2011, then declined/stagnated – never 'steady').
  4. [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: When you see 'last decade', ask: Did a global crisis happen? (e.g., 2008 Global Financial Crisis). If yes, growth rates likely dipped, making any claim of 'steady increase' in *rate* mathematically impossible.
Concept hooks from this question
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Real vs Nominal GDP (base-year/constant prices)
💡 The insight

Understanding which series (real/nominal) measures economic growth is essential to judge changes in output over time; references discuss real GDP and base-year conversion.

High-yield for UPSC: questions often ask how growth is measured and why constant-price (real) series matter. Connects to inflation, base-year revision and comparison across years. Prepare by mastering definitions, base-year concept, and practice applying them to growth-rate interpretation.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > Real versus Nominal GDP > p. 8
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did the annual rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Pro..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Level vs Growth-rate distinction (GDP can rise while growth rate falls)
💡 The insight

References explicitly show examples where real GDP (the level) increases across years while the year-on-year growth rate declines — central to assessing whether growth 'increased steadily'.

Crucial for UPSC mains/MCQs: candidates must distinguish rising output from rising growth rates; many questions probe slowdown vs recession. Study by comparing series and computing percentage changes; practice interpreting tables/graphs.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.14 Potential GDP > p. 23
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did the annual rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Pro..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 GDP computation methodology change (factor cost vs market prices, pre/post-2015)
💡 The insight

Knowing methodological differences matters when comparing growth rates across periods that span a change in computation (pre-2015 vs post-2015), which affects time-series consistency.

Relevant for policy/economy questions and data interpretation in UPSC: examiners test awareness of statistical revisions and their impact. Learn the methodological shift, its implications, and note caution when comparing series across revision years.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 20
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did the annual rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Pro..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Nominal (current price) vs Real (constant price) GDP
💡 The insight

The statement asks about GDP 'measured in rupees' (nominal/GDP at market prices) versus trends in real GDP; several references clarify the difference and importance of using constant vs current prices.

UPSC questions often probe growth rates versus level-series and the distinction between nominal and real measures. Mastering this helps interpret whether an increase in rupee terms reflects real expansion or price effects, and prevents misreading time-series trends. Prepare by practising calculations of nominal-to-real conversions and by studying examples of how growth rates and levels behave differently.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 17
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did Gross Domestic Product at market prices measured in ..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Change in India's GDP measurement methodology (pre‑2015 vs post‑2015)
💡 The insight

The evidence notes a methodological change around 2015 (use of market prices, GVA, and replacement of factor cost series), which affects continuity and comparability of GDP series across the period in question.

Understanding methodological revisions is high-yield for UPSC because it affects how you interpret historical series, official announcements, and comparability across years. Questions may ask about implications of base-year changes, series breaks, or why apparent trends may change after revisions. Study official CSO/NSO revision notes and practice explaining implications for trend analysis.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 18
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2.4 Factor Cost, Basic Prices and Market Prices > p. 24
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > Mains Questions: > p. 36
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did Gross Domestic Product at market prices measured in ..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 GDP at factor cost vs GDP at market prices (role of indirect taxes/subsidies)
💡 The insight

References explain that GDP at market prices = GDP at factor cost + indirect taxes − subsidies; this matters when comparing series labelled differently or measured 'in rupees'.

Frequently tested in national income/accounting questions, this concept helps candidates correctly convert and compare aggregates reported in different conventions and to spot why reported rupee-levels may differ. Learn formulae and practice converting between FC, MP, NDP and GNP to answer calculation and conceptual questions confidently.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 1: National Income > Eight (08) Measures or Aggregates of National Income: 1. GDP extsubscript{MP} = Gross Domestic Product at Market Price. 2. GDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 3. NDP extsubscript{MP} = Net Domestic Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Depreciation 4. NDP_ extsubscript{FC} = Net Domestic Product at Factor Cost = NDP_ extsubscript{MP} – Indirect taxes + Subsidies 5. GNP extsubscript{MP} = Gross National Product at Market Price = GDP_ extsubscript{MP} + NFIA 6 > p. 10
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.12 Nominal and Real GDP > p. 19
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2.4 Factor Cost, Basic Prices and Market Prices > p. 24
🔗 Anchor: "For the Indian economy, did Gross Domestic Product at market prices measured in ..."
🌑 The Hidden Trap

The 'Savings Rate' and 'Investment Rate' (Gross Capital Formation). UPSC often asks if these have steadily increased. They have NOT; they peaked around 2011-12 and have seen declines since. This is the logical sibling to the GDP trend question.

⚡ Elimination Cheat Code

The 'Derivative' Hack: If the statement talks about a 'Rate' (1st derivative) increasing steadily for 10 years, mark it FALSE immediately (economies are cyclical). If it talks about an 'Absolute Value' (Nominal GDP, Population) increasing, mark it TRUE (unless there was a war or pandemic).

🔗 Mains Connection

Mains GS-3 (Inclusive Growth): High Nominal GDP growth (Statement 2) with fluctuating Real Growth (Statement 1) implies Inflation. This links to the 'Cost of Living' crisis, where the economy looks big in Rupees, but purchasing power isn't growing as fast.

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SIMILAR QUESTIONS

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With reference to India economy, consider the following statements: 1. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has increased by four times in the last 10 years 2. The percentage share of Public Sector in GDP has declined in the last 10 years Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

IAS · 2011 · Q81 Relevance score: 6.88

In the context of Indian economy, consider the following statements : 1. The growth rate of GDP has steadily increased in the last five years. 2. The growth rate in per capita income has steadily increased in the last five years. Which of the statements given above is/ are correct?

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With reference to the Indian economy after the 1991 economic liberalization, consider the following statements : 1. Worker productivity (₹ per worker at 2004 - 05 prices) increased in urban areas while it decreased in rural areas. 2. The percentage share of rural areas in the workforce steadily increased. 3. In rural areas, the growth in non-farm economy increased. 4. The growth rate in rural employment decreased. Which of the statements given above is/are correct ?

IAS · 2022 · Q92 Relevance score: 5.69

With reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements : 1. An increase in Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) indicates the appreciation of rupee. 2. An increase in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) indicates an improvement in trade competitiveness. 3. An increasing trend in domestic inflation relative to inflation in other countries is likely to cause an increasing divergence between NEER and REER. Which of the above statements are correct ?

IAS · 2017 · Q94 Relevance score: 5.52

Consider the following statements : 1. Tax revenue as a percent of GDP of India has steadily increased in the last decade. 2. Fiscal deficit as a percent of GDP of India has steadily increased in the last decade. Which of the statements given above is/are correct ?