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Consider the following pairs : Country Important reason for being in the news recently 1. Chad - Setting up of permanent military base by China 2. Guinea - Suspension of Constitution and Government by military 3. Lebanon - Severe and prolonged economic depression 4. Tunisia - Suspension of Parliament by President How many pairs given above are correctly matched ?
Explanation
The correct answer is Option 3 (Only three pairs). The evaluation of the pairs is as follows:
- Pair 1 is incorrectly matched: While China has sought influence in Africa, its only official permanent military base is in Djibouti, not Chad. Chad has primarily been in the news due to political transition following the death of President Idriss Déby and security challenges in the Sahel.
- Pair 2 is correctly matched: In September 2021, Guinea’s special forces led by Colonel Mamady Doumbouya staged a coup, ousted President Alpha Condé, and subsequently suspended the Constitution and dissolved the government.
- Pair 3 is correctly matched: Lebanon has been grappling with one of the world's most severe economic depressions since 2019, characterized by hyperinflation, a massive currency devaluation, and the 2020 Beirut port blast, leading to widespread poverty.
- Pair 4 is correctly matched: In July 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied invoked emergency powers to dismiss the Prime Minister and suspend Parliament, a move he later formalized to restructure the political system.
Since three out of the four pairs are correctly matched, Option 3 is the right choice.
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewThis question is a pure 'International Events' test, specifically targeting the 'Coup Belt' in Africa and China's strategic expansion. It punishes those who ignore the 'World' page in newspapers. The strategy is to categorize news into: Military Coups, Economic Collapses, and Strategic Bases.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Has China established a permanent military base in Chad recently?
- Statement 2: Has Guinea's military suspended the constitution and the government in a recent takeover?
- Statement 3: Has Lebanon been experiencing a severe and prolonged economic depression recently?
- Statement 4: Has the President of Tunisia suspended the parliament recently?
- Explicitly states China has only one overseas military base, located in Djibouti.
- Implies no additional confirmed bases (e.g., in Chad) are currently established.
- Identifies Djibouti as China’s first overseas military base (in use since 2017).
- Provides context that China’s known overseas military presence is in Djibouti, not Chad.
- Notes Chinese presence and projects in Chad have prompted local protests.
- Mentions Chinese activity in Chad but does not indicate establishment of a military base.
States that China has in recent years built naval bases overseas (examples: Kyaukpyu, Cocos Islands, Hambantota, Colombo, Gwadar).
A student could note the pattern that China's documented bases are overseas/naval and then check Chad's geography (inland, Central Africa) to judge plausibility of a naval base there.
Lists many countries where the United States has established strategic bases, illustrating that major powers commonly place bases in foreign states for strategic reach.
Use this general rule (powers deploy bases where they have maritime or strategic access) and compare Chad's strategic value and access to seas to assess likelihood of China establishing a similar permanent base there.
Notes China’s interest in regions for resources (e.g., oil) and that Chinese presence often increases via settlements and trade rather than explicit bases in some areas.
A student could combine this with knowledge of Chad's resources and patterns of Chinese engagement (trade, investment vs. military bases) to evaluate whether a permanent military base is consistent with observed Chinese behavior in similar regions.
Defines 'martial law' as military rule that implies suspension of ordinary law and the government by military authorities.
A student could check whether Guinea's military used language such as 'martial law' or announced military rule — if so, that would suggest suspension of the constitution/government.
Explains that during a Proclamation of Emergency fundamental rights and constitutional limits can be suspended, illustrating how legal orders can remove normal constitutional constraints.
Compare any Guinean military proclamation to an emergency proclamation — if it explicitly suspends constitutional provisions or rights, this supports the claim.
Describes Article 356 (President's rule) causing takeover of a state government and suspension/dissolution of the assembly — an example of constitutional takeover by another authority.
Use this pattern to look for whether Guinea's military announced dismissal/dissolution of government bodies or assemblies, which would parallel suspension of constitutional governance.
Provides historical examples where military takeovers in neighbouring countries resulted in removal of civilian governments and constitutional changes.
A student can treat such precedents as models: check news on Guinea for statements about removal of civilian leaders or constitutional amendment/suspension following the coup.
Gives another example (Bangladesh) where a military uprising led to abolition or alteration of constitutional arrangements and one-party/presidential changes.
Compare Guinea's reported actions to these historical patterns—if the military in Guinea declared abolition/suspension of the constitution or replaced institutions, it would fit these precedents.
Gives a clear definition: a 'severe and protracted recession' is called a depression and contrasts typical recession duration vs depression.
A student could use this rule to check recent Lebanese GDP, duration of decline, and whether contractions have lasted beyond typical recession lengths to judge if 'depression' fits.
States that rising unemployment is an indicator of a depressed economy and lists social consequences of sustained unemployment.
Compare Lebanon's recent unemployment statistics and social indicators (poverty, school withdrawal, health) against this pattern to infer severity.
Describes cyclical unemployment arising from recession/depression and links business downturns to increased unemployment.
A student can check whether Lebanon's unemployment trends align with prolonged cyclical unemployment consistent with a depression.
Lists Lebanon among South‑West Asia countries with high internal displacement and migration pressures, a context often correlated with economic and political distress.
Combine knowledge of displacement/migration flows with economic indicators (remittances, labor market stress) to assess whether displacement reflects prolonged economic crisis in Lebanon.
Identifies Lebanon as a country facing environmental stresses (desertification), which can exacerbate economic hardship in affected regions.
A student could factor environmental degradation into analyses of Lebanon's economic resilience and whether such structural stresses contribute to a prolonged downturn.
States that a President may make regulations and legislate for a territory when its assembly is suspended or dissolved — shows a pattern where presidential authority increases when a legislature is suspended.
A student could compare this pattern to Tunisia's constitution or recent news to see if Tunisia's president similarly gains powers when parliament is suspended.
Repeats the rule that the President can legislate for a territory only when the assembly is suspended or dissolved — identifies suspension/dissolution as a formal constitutional condition.
Use this as a template to check whether Tunisia's legal framework includes explicit suspension/dissolution procedures and whether those were invoked recently.
Describes 'President's Rule' where a legislature is suspended/dissolved and the executive (on behalf of President) takes over administration — shows a constitutional mechanism linking suspension to central executive takeover.
A student could look for analogous mechanisms in Tunisia (e.g., emergency or extraordinary powers) and then search recent timelines/news to see if they were used.
Again explains consequences when a state legislature is suspended/dissolved and laws continue to operate under presidential/central authority — highlights legal continuity issues after suspension.
Compare this continuity principle to reports from Tunisia to determine whether, if parliament were suspended, laws and executive decrees continued or changed.
Notes discretionary powers of a President (e.g., withholding assent) — indicates presidents can take unilateral actions affecting legislature-business, though not suspension.
Use as a reminder to distinguish between veto/discretionary acts and full suspension; check whether Tunisia's president has discretionary tools or has used extraordinary steps against parliament.
- [THE VERDICT]: Moderate Current Affairs. The Chad option is a 'Geographic Trap' (Landlocked country vs Naval ambition).
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: 'Places in News' specifically focusing on Political Instability (Coups/Constitutional Crises) and Great Power Projection.
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Map the 'Coup Belt' of Africa (Mali, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Sudan, Niger, Gabon). Memorize China's 'String of Pearls' locations: Djibouti (Confirmed), Gwadar (Pakistan), Hambantota (Sri Lanka), Ream (Cambodia), and the rumored Atlantic base in Equatorial Guinea.
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: When reading news, do not just read the headline. Ask: 'Is this a constitutional crisis?' (Tunisia/Guinea) or 'Is this a strategic military shift?' (China). UPSC loves structural changes in governance over random events.
China has built naval/military facilities abroad such as Kyaukpyu, Cocos Islands, Hambantota, Colombo and Gwadar, reflecting its practice of establishing overseas bases.
High-yield for UPSC: understanding where China places bases clarifies its maritime strategy and power projection. Connects to questions on the Belt and Road Initiative, maritime security, and India–China strategic competition. Enables answers on geopolitics, defence diplomacy, and regional security implications.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 16: India–Political Aspects > History > p. 72
Major powers (for example the USA and Russia) maintain a global network of overseas bases, which is the broader strategic context in which China’s basing is assessed.
Important for UPSC: comparing basing strategies of great powers helps answer questions on balance of power, strategic alliances, and regional influence. Links to defence geography, foreign policy, and security studies; useful for essay and GS papers on geopolitics.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 16: India–Political Aspects > History > p. 72
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 16: India–Political Aspects > History > p. 71
Bases in the Indian Ocean (e.g., Diego Garcia) provide decisive command advantages over South-West, Central and South Asia and affect regional actors including China and India.
Vital for UPSC aspirants: Indian Ocean basing shapes trade routes, naval reach, and crisis response. Helps tackle questions on maritime strategy, logistics, and regional security architecture; links to topics on sea lines of communication and naval power projection.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 16: India–Political Aspects > History > p. 71
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 16: India–Political Aspects > History > p. 72
Martial law denotes military rule that implies suspension of ordinary law and the government.
High-yield for UPSC: helps distinguish extra-constitutional military takeovers from constitutional measures; connects to civil-military relations, constitutional validity, and consequences for governance. Enables analysis of whether a takeover equates to legal suspension of constitution or an extra-legal imposition.
- Indian Polity, M. Laxmikanth(7th ed.) > Chapter 8: Fundamental Rights > MARTIAL LAW AND FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS > p. 100
President's rule permits central takeover when a state government cannot be carried on according to the constitution.
Important for comparing lawful constitutional mechanisms for takeover with military coups; links federalism, role of governors, and limits on state autonomy. Useful for answering questions on legal procedures and parliamentary oversight versus extra-constitutional seizures.
- Indian Constitution at Work, Political Science Class XI (NCERT 2025 ed.) > Chapter 7: FEDERALISM > Role of Governors and President's Rule > p. 166
A proclamation of Emergency can suspend enforcement of specified Fundamental Rights and free the state from Article 19 limitations.
High-yield: clarifies legal routes for suspending rights and actions by the executive during crises; connects to judicial review, civil liberties, and distinctions between emergency law and military rule. Enables evaluation of legitimacy and legal consequences of suspensions.
- Indian Polity, M. Laxmikanth(7th ed.) > Chapter 17: Emergency Provisions > Distinction Between Articles 358 and 359 > p. 177
- Introduction to the Constitution of India, D. D. Basu (26th ed.). > Chapter 8: FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS AND FUNDAMENTAL DUTIES > Scope of the Writs: I. Habeas corpus. > p. 160
A depression is a severe, protracted form of recession and differs from a typical short-term downturn in both depth and duration.
High-yield for UPSC: helps adjudicate claims about an economy's condition by applying clear temporal and severity criteria; connects macroeconomics (GDP, business cycles) to policy response questions and aids in structuring comparative answers on economic crises.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > 1.14 Potential GDP > p. 22
- India and the Contemporary World – II. History-Class X . NCERT(Revised ed 2025) > Chapter 3: The Making of a Global World > 3.4 The Great Depression > p. 71
The 'Shadow Fact' is Equatorial Guinea. Around the same time reports surfaced about China seeking a naval base on the Atlantic coast of Africa, specifically in Equatorial Guinea, not Chad. Also, know the 'Sahel Security Crisis' which links Chad, Mali, and Burkina Faso.
Apply 'Strategic Geography'. China's military expansion is primarily *Naval* (PLAN) to secure trade routes (Djibouti, Gwadar). Chad is a landlocked country in the Sahara. While a base is possible, it is strategically inconsistent with China's maritime priority compared to coastal nations. This makes Pair 1 highly suspicious.
Connects to GS-2 (Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India's interests). The instability in the Sahel (Guinea/Chad) creates a vacuum for terrorism, impacting global security, while China's bases encircle India (String of Pearls).