Question map
Consider the following statements : Statement-I : India accounts for 3-2% of global export of goods. Statement-II : Many local companies and some foreign companies operating in India have taken advantage of India's 'Production-linked Incentive' scheme. Which one of the following is correct in respect of the above statements?
Explanation
The correct answer is Option 4.
Statement-I is incorrect: According to the WTO's World Trade Statistical Review and Economic Survey data, India's share in global merchandise (goods) exports has hovered around 1.8% to 2% in recent years, not 3.2%. While India aims to reach higher targets, the 3.2% figure is factually inaccurate for goods exports alone.
Statement-II is correct: The Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, launched across 14 sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and white goods, has seen significant participation. Both domestic champions and global giants (such as Apple's contract manufacturers and Samsung) have leveraged these incentives to boost local manufacturing and exports.
Since Statement-I is factually wrong regarding India's global trade share, but Statement-II accurately reflects the successful implementation of the PLI scheme by various firms, Option 4 is the only logically sound choice.
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewStatement I is a classic 'Data Swap' trap—UPSC substituted India's 'Services' export share (which is higher) or a future target into the 'Goods' export statistic. Statement II is a 'Policy Logic' sitter found in any newspaper explaining PLI. You must distinguish between Merchandise (Goods) and Services data in the Economic Survey.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: What percentage share of global merchandise (goods) exports did India account for in 2023?
- Statement 2: How many Indian (local) companies had taken advantage of India's Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes by 2023?
- Statement 3: How many foreign companies operating in India had taken advantage of India's Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes by 2023?
States an explicit policy objective: "To double our percentage share of global merchandise trade within the next five years," implying India considers its current share small and that policymakers track that percentage.
A student could take the policy target as motivation to look up (a) India's merchandise export value for 2023 and (b) total world merchandise exports for 2023, then compute India's share and compare to the baseline implicit in the policy.
Notes that "percentage share of India in the global trade is on the lower side," giving qualitative support that India's share is small relative to major traders.
Combine this qualitative judgment with external numeric data (India's 2023 goods exports and global goods export totals) to assess the precise percentage and its relative smallness.
Provides detailed composition and percentage shares of export commodity groups for India (e.g., manufactured goods 65.7% in 2016–17), which helps estimate the structure of India's exports when comparing to global merchandise flows.
A student could use the composition to determine which commodity categories to compare with global category shares (from world trade data) when calculating or cross-checking India's overall merchandise export share for 2023.
Gives recent sectoral information (manufacturing 67.8% of India's exports in 2021–22) and notes competition from China and East Asia, implying the need to consider global leaders when judging India's global share.
Use these sector weights plus known global export values by sector (from international trade statistics) to estimate whether India's overall merchandise share in 2023 is plausibly small or growing.
States an explicit goal to "double India's share in world agri exports" and past baseline ($30+ billion in 2017–18), showing that for specific sectors India tracks shares and values as a route to estimating global share.
A student can use the provided baseline agricultural export value and compare it to world agricultural export totals (external data) to estimate India's agri share, then aggregate sectoral estimates to inform an overall merchandise-share estimate for 2023.
Explains the PLI scheme mechanics, lists initial sectors (mobiles, medical devices, pharmaceuticals) and that the scheme gives 4–6% incentives on incremental domestic sales.
A student could use this to focus data searches on beneficiary lists for these named sectors (government notifications/award lists) to count participating Indian companies by 2023.
The 'Make in India' initiative coordinates action plans across numerous manufacturing sectors (27), indicating a policy environment that could produce many eligible firms for schemes like PLI.
A student could cross-reference the 27 Make in India sectors with PLI-covered sectors to estimate the pool of domestic firms likely to apply for/receive PLI incentives by 2023.
Notes that several top Indian companies benefited from increased competition by investing in technology and production — a pattern suggesting domestic firms can and do take advantage of policy incentives.
Use this pattern to prioritize checking large, technologically capable Indian firms in relevant sectors when compiling counts of PLI beneficiaries.
Points out structural weaknesses (low labour productivity, small unit size) in Indian manufacturing, which may limit how many domestic firms can effectively benefit from schemes.
A student can use this to temper expectations and look for concentration of PLI beneficiaries among larger/organized firms rather than many small units when estimating totals.
Explains what PLI does, lists sectors (mobiles, medical devices, pharmaceuticals) and that scheme is being extended to more 'sunrise' sectors—identifies the types of manufacturers (including multinationals) that could qualify.
A student could list foreign firms active in those sectors in India (e.g., phone OEMs, pharma MNCs) and check publicly announced PLI beneficiaries to estimate how many foreign companies might be included.
Notes removal of earlier restrictions on foreign ownership (FERA → FEMA), meaning foreign-owned companies are treated alike—implying they are eligible to operate and participate in schemes like PLI.
Combine this with sector lists from PLI to expect that foreign-owned subsidiaries present in those sectors could apply for incentives; then cross-check company ownership of known PLI beneficiaries.
Describes FDI routes (automatic/greenfield/brownfield) and that multinationals can set up new factories—relevant because PLI rewards incremental manufacturing in India, which greenfield FDI could supply.
Use knowledge of which foreign firms made greenfield/brownfield investments in PLI-targeted sectors and compare to PLI beneficiary lists to infer foreign company participation.
States DPIIT sets rules for foreign investment and policy pronouncements—DPIIT also administers PLI, so this links the administrative authority over both FDI and incentive schemes.
A student could search DPIIT press releases/notifications (using this clue) for published lists of PLI beneficiaries and identify which are foreign-owned.
- [THE VERDICT]: Trap (Statement I) + Sitter (Statement II). Source: Economic Survey (External Sector Chapter) & Daily News.
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: India's Balance of Payments & Industrial Policy (PLI).
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: 1. India's Merchandise Export Share: ~1.8% (Global Rank ~18). 2. India's Services Export Share: ~4.4% (Global Rank ~7). 3. Top Export: Engineering Goods. 4. PLI Incentive: 4-6% on incremental sales. 5. PLI Eligibility: Both Domestic (e.g., Dixon) and Foreign (e.g., Samsung/Foxconn).
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Do the 'Macro Math'. Global Merchandise Trade is ~$25 Trillion. If India had 3.2%, our exports would be ~$800 Billion. In reality, India's goods exports were ~$450 Billion (2022-23). The math proves Statement I is inflated.
This concept concerns the percentage share of world goods exports held by India and the government's targets or commentary about changing that share.
High-yield for UPSC because questions ask about India’s position in world trade and related policy goals; links to balance of payments, external sector policy and trade diplomacy. Mastering this helps answer questions on trade competitiveness and policy responses (e.g., targets to raise global share).
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 12: Transport, Communications and Trade > Foreign Trade Policy > p. 53
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > Can Indian Rupee be Internationalised? > p. 500
Understanding sectoral shares (manufactured goods, agriculture, petroleum, etc.) explains sources of export value that determine overall global market share.
Important for analysing how changes in specific sectors (like manufacturing or petroleum) affect export performance and global ranking; connects to industrial policy, export promotion and comparative advantage questions frequently seen in UPSC.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 12: Transport, Communications and Trade > Table 12.7 > p. 47
- INDIA PEOPLE AND ECONOMY, TEXTBOOK IN GEOGRAPHY FOR CLASS XII (NCERT 2025 ed.) > Chapter 8: International Trade > Changing Pattern of ttern ofttern of the Composition of India's Expor s Exports > p. 87
Concentration of exports by destination (top partners) directly affects India’s export performance and its share in global merchandise trade.
Useful for questions on trade patterns, regional linkages and geopolitical-economic strategy (e.g., dependence risks, diversification); helps frame policy prescriptions and MCQ elimination based on trade data.
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 12: Transport, Communications and Trade > India's Major Trading Partners 2018 > p. 49
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 12: Transport, Communications and Trade > India's Major Trading Partners 2018 > p. 48
Explains the PLI design of paying 4–6% on incremental domestic manufacturing sales and the sectors targeted, which determines which firms can benefit.
High-yield for policy questions: it clarifies how fiscal incentives translate into firm-level gains and eligibility criteria. Links to topics on industrial promotion, fiscal policy, and manufacturing performance; useful for answering questions about incentive design and its likely impact.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 7: Indian Economy after 2014 > 7.7 Production Linked Incentive Scheme (PLIS) > p. 238
Frames the government's broader manufacturing push across 27 sectors and the institutional coordination that complements targeted schemes like PLI.
Important for questions on industrial strategy and program coherence: helps connect flagship campaigns with incentive schemes, FDI attraction and sectoral policy-making. Enables comparative analysis of policy tools and outcomes.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 7: Indian Economy after 2014 > Make in India > p. 230
Focuses on how incentives and competitive pressures prompt firms to invest in technology, raise production standards, and potentially benefit from schemes like PLI.
Useful for evaluating policy effectiveness in essays and mains answers: connects to labour productivity, FDI, and export-promotion debates. Helps construct arguments about limitations and expected outcomes of incentive-based industrial policy.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 7: Indian Economy after 2014 > 7.7 Production Linked Incentive Scheme (PLIS) > p. 238
- Understanding Economic Development. Class X . NCERT(Revised ed 2025) > Chapter 4: GLOBALISATION AND THE INDIAN ECONOMY > Steps to Attract Foreign Investment > p. 66
Explains that PLI offers 4–6% incentives on incremental domestic sales and targets sectors such as mobiles, medical devices and pharmaceuticals, which is central to assessing foreign firm participation.
High-yield for questions on industrial policy and Make in India initiatives; helps evaluate how fiscal incentives alter manufacturing decisions and foreign firm participation. Links to questions on export promotion, sectoral policy design and comparative advantage.
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 7: Indian Economy after 2014 > 7.7 Production Linked Incentive Scheme (PLIS) > p. 238
Foreign Trade Policy (FTP) 2023 Target: The government aims for $2 Trillion in total exports (Goods + Services) by 2030. Also, RoDTEP scheme replaced MEIS to be WTO compliant—expect a question on RoDTEP features next.
The 'Denominator Check': When you see a global percentage share, multiply it by the global total. World Goods Trade ≈ $25 Trillion. 3.2% of 25T = $800 Billion. Ask yourself: 'Did India export $800 Billion in goods?' No, we barely crossed $400-450 Billion. Statement I is mathematically impossible.
Mains GS3 (Industrial Policy) & IR (Geoeconomics): PLI is not just a subsidy; it is India's tool for the 'China Plus One' strategy. It leverages the 'Assemble in India' theme (Economic Survey) to integrate into Global Value Chains (GVCs).