Question map
If the interest rate is decreased in an economy, it will
Explanation
The correct answer is option C because interest rate is the cost of investible funds, and at higher interest rates, firms tend to lower investment[1]. Conversely, when interest rates decrease, the cost of borrowing falls, making investment more attractive. All else equal, when the interest rate rises, the cost of investing—the interest the business will pay—rises, resulting in less investment overall[2]. Therefore, a decrease in interest rates will have the opposite effect, increasing investment expenditure.
Option A is incorrect because growth in household consumption expenditure generally follows the same trend as growth in disposable income[3], and lower interest rates typically encourage rather than decrease consumption. Option B is incorrect as there is no direct automatic relationship between interest rate decreases and increased tax collection. Option D is incorrect because supply of savings results in lower interest rates, and a lower supply of savings results in higher interest rates[4], indicating that lower interest rates generally discourage rather than increase savings.
Sources- [1] Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > 4.3.2 Effect of an Autonomous Change in Aggregate Demand on Income and Output > p. 60
- [2] https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11020
- [4] https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11020
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewThis is a classic 'Sitter' derived directly from NCERT Macroeconomics. It tests the fundamental Investment Function (I = f(r)). While real-world economics is messy, UPSC Prelims demands the primary theoretical relationship: Interest Rate is the cost of capital; when it falls, Investment rises. Ignore secondary effects like tax buoyancy.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy decrease household consumption expenditure?
- Statement 2: Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase government tax collection (tax revenue)?
- Statement 3: Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase investment expenditure by firms?
- Statement 4: Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase total savings in the economy?
Explains that increased money supply and bank credit lead to higher disposable income and increased consumption (demand‑pull inflation driver).
A student can infer that lower interest rates tend to raise bank credit/money supply, which would likely raise household consumption rather than decrease it.
Summarises that increases in money supply and bank credit increase disposable income and aggregate demand via higher private spending.
Combine this with the fact that lower interest rates usually boost credit and money creation to judge that consumption would rise, not fall.
Recommends lowering bank/repo rates as a policy to increase money supply and boost demand when fighting deflation.
Use the policy link (lower rates → more money supply → higher demand) to infer effects on household consumption.
Shows how changes in the marginal propensity to consume (mpc) change aggregate consumption for a given income level.
A student could combine the mpc mechanism with lower rates' effect on disposable income or borrowing to assess net consumption change.
Contains a past-question framing that links a fall in interest rates to possible changes in consumption, investment and savings—highlighting common textbook comparisons.
Use this as a checklist: compare whether lower rates more strongly affect borrowing/consumption or investment in the relevant economy to judge the statement.
- Explains that higher interest rates raise the cost of investing and reduce investment, implying that lower rates (the reverse) increase investment and interest-sensitive spending.
- Increased investment and consumer spending from lower rates can raise economic activity, which is a pathway to higher tax receipts.
- Provides empirical evidence that (negative) lower interest rates are associated with lower effective corporate tax rates, which would reduce tax collection.
- Shows a direct link between very low/negative rates and firms' tax behavior, countering a simple claim that lower rates always increase tax revenue.
- Notes that interest rates affect flows of interest payments to and from the government, illustrating that interest-rate changes change fiscal balances via interest expense rather than directly via tax collections.
- This indicates a separate channel (debt service) by which lower rates affect the government's budget even if tax revenue effects are ambiguous.
This exam-style item explicitly lists 'increase the tax collection of the Government' as a possible consequence of a decrease in interest rates, showing the claim is commonly considered and debated.
A student could take this as an example claim to test by tracing channels (rates → investment/consumption → GDP → tax receipts) using standard macro relations and data.
Defines tax buoyancy/elasticity: tax revenue responsiveness to changes in GDP and tax rates, providing a rule that links economic output changes to tax collections.
Combine this with the standard fact that lower interest rates can raise aggregate demand/output to assess whether induced GDP growth would mechanically raise tax revenue via buoyancy.
Explains 'fiscal drag'—income growth or inflation can raise tax revenue by moving taxpayers into higher brackets without changing rates, showing tax receipts depend on income distribution and nominal incomes.
A student could examine whether lower interest rates raise incomes (or inflation) enough to cause bracket creep and thus higher nominal tax receipts.
Shows how changes in taxes affect disposable income, consumption and equilibrium output via the tax multiplier, illustrating the two-way link between taxes and aggregate demand/output.
Use this multiplier logic in reverse: if lower rates raise output, apply tax buoyancy/tax multiplier ideas to estimate likely change in tax revenue.
Describes 'pump priming' (fiscal expansion via lower taxes and higher spending) and contrasts with contractionary fiscal policy, highlighting that tax policy affects aggregate demand—implying tax receipts depend on demand conditions.
A student can analogize: monetary stimulus (lower rates) similarly boosts demand, so assess whether resulting demand-led growth would increase tax collections.
- States interest rate is the cost of investible funds and that higher interest rates lead firms to lower investment.
- Links changes in interest rates directly to investment behaviour in the macro (AD/equilibrium) context.
- Explicitly lists rate of interest as a factor affecting investment and states 'Higher is the rate of interest, lesser will be the investment.'
- Connects interest-rate movements to private saving–investment decisions, supporting an inverse relationship.
- Explains the crowding-out mechanism: higher demand for loanable funds raises interest rates and discourages private investment.
- Provides the loanable-funds channel linking interest-rate increases to reduced private investment, implying the reverse when rates fall.
- States that the supply of savings causes lower interest rates (causality from savings to rates, not the reverse).
- Explicitly links an increase in the supply of savings to declining interest rates and higher business investment, implying rates fall because savings rise rather than rates causing savings to rise.
- Explains that interest rates are influenced by the supply of savings (national and global), again indicating savings drive rates.
- Framing implies changes in interest rates are effects of changes in savings supply, not necessarily drivers of total savings.
Explains transmission: when policy (repo) rate falls, deposit rates charged to savers tend to fall as well—showing one direct channel by which interest changes affect the return on saving.
A student could combine this with the basic idea that lower returns on deposits reduce the incentive to save (substitution effect) to judge whether aggregate saving might fall.
States the Paradox of Thrift: changes in individual saving propensity can produce counterintuitive aggregate effects (higher propensity to save can leave total savings unchanged or lower).
Use this rule to recognise that interest-driven changes in behaviour might be offset by income changes (e.g., lower rates → more investment → higher income) so total savings could move unpredictably.
Discusses liquidity trap: even with repeated cuts in policy rate and falling deposit/lending rates, aggregate demand may not respond—showing that rate cuts do not always stimulate income or spending.
Combine with the idea that if rate cuts fail to raise income, the expected income effect on savings won’t materialise, so lower rates could reduce savings via lower returns without compensating income gains.
Describes how increased money supply can raise bond demand, push up bond prices and lower interest rates—giving an example of how market operations change interest rates and asset allocations.
A student could use this mechanism plus knowledge of portfolio choices (moving into bonds or spending) to infer whether lower market rates shift funds away from bank saving into other assets or consumption.
States the standard macro relation that higher aggregate saving enables more capital formation (saving = investment) and links saving to future income and production.
Combine with the possibility that lower interest rates may raise investment (increasing incomes) — which could raise total savings even if propensity to save falls; this highlights the opposing channels to weigh.
- [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. Direct hit from NCERT Class XII Macroeconomics, Chapter 4 (Determination of Income and Employment).
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: The 'Investment Function' and Monetary Policy Transmission mechanism.
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize these sibling macro-relations: 1) Bond Prices and Interest Rates are inversely related. 2) Liquidity Trap: Situation where low interest rates fail to stimulate demand. 3) Crowding Out: High Govt borrowing raises interest rates, lowering private investment. 4) Paradox of Thrift: If everyone saves more, aggregate demand falls. 5) Phillips Curve: Short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Distinguish between 'First-Order Effects' and 'Second-Order Effects'. Lower rates -> Cheaper Loans -> Higher Investment (First Order/Direct). Lower rates -> Higher Growth -> Higher Tax (Second Order/Indirect). Always mark the First Order effect.
References link lower bank/market rates and increased money supply/credit to higher disposable income and demand, implying rate cuts tend to raise—not lower—consumption.
High‑yield for UPSC economics: explains transmission of monetary policy to aggregate demand and consumption, connects monetary policy to inflation and deflation management, and appears in questions on policy effects and macro stabilisation. Prepare by mapping channels (interest rate → cost of borrowing, savings incentive, credit availability → consumption/investment) and practising policy‑effect scenarios.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > a) Demand-Pull Inflation > p. 63
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > Deflation > p. 74
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 77
Evidence explains how changes in MPC (or exogenous shocks to consumer confidence) change aggregate consumption independently of interest rates.
Core macro concept: MPC governs multiplier effects of consumption changes on aggregate demand and output; frequently tested in theory and application (shocks, multipliers, fiscal policy effectiveness). Study derivations, example problems (as in the references), and linkages to fiscal/monetary policy outcomes.
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > Paradox of Thrift > p. 63
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2 CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND METHODS OF CALCULATING NATIONAL INCOME > p. 14
References identify increased private spending, money supply/credit and lower household savings as causes of demand‑pull inflation—showing how changes that raise consumption affect price levels.
Important for questions on inflation causes and macro policy trade‑offs: helps explain why policymakers may change rates or fiscal stance. Study causal links (AD shifts → price level), interplay with monetary/fiscal measures, and typical policy responses.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > a) Demand-Pull Inflation > p. 63
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 77
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > EXAMPLE 5.1 > p. 77
Explains how rising incomes or inflation can raise government tax receipts without changing tax rates; relevant when considering indirect channels from macro policy to tax revenue.
High-yield for UPSC: fiscal drag links income growth, bracket effects and automatic increases in tax receipts — important for questions on revenue dynamics and fiscal stance. It connects fiscal policy, inflation, and disposable income; typical question patterns ask how revenue responds to growth/inflation. Prepare by learning definition, mechanism and examples of bracket creep.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Fiscal Drag > p. 117
- Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 16: Terminology > 16 Terminology > p. 456
These measure how tax revenue responds to changes in GDP (buoyancy) and to tax rate changes (elasticity), useful to infer whether policies that raise output might raise tax collections.
Core concept for revenue analysis in UPSC mains: helps assess efficiency of revenue mobilisation and the impact of growth or policy on receipts. It links macro growth, fiscal metrics and budget outcomes; questions often ask to interpret buoyancy/elasticity or compute them. Study definitions, formulae and implications for fiscal planning.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > TAX ELASTICITY AND TAX BUOYANCY > p. 101
Shows how changes in taxes alter consumption and equilibrium income — relevant for tracing how policy shocks (including those affecting interest rates indirectly) might influence tax revenue via output changes.
Useful for analytical answers in UPSC: connects fiscal instruments to aggregate demand and income, enabling evaluation of revenue consequences of policy changes. Frequently used in application-type questions on fiscal multipliers and policy transmission. Master by practicing derivations and comparative examples of spending vs tax multipliers.
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Changes in Taxes > p. 74
References state interest is the cost of borrowing/investible funds and that higher rates reduce firm investment, so lower rates encourage investment.
High-yield macro concept: it directly underpins questions on monetary policy, investment function and aggregate demand. Mastering this helps answer policy-effect and multiplier questions; prepare by practising AD/IS and investment schedule shifts and relating rate changes to investment decisions.
- Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > 4.3.2 Effect of an Autonomous Change in Aggregate Demand on Income and Output > p. 60
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 20: Investment Models > FACTORS AFFECTING INVESTMENTS > p. 581
The 'Bond Price' Inverse Relation. Since this question tested the link between Interest Rates and Investment, the next logical question from the same NCERT chapter is the link between Interest Rates and Bond Prices (Rates down = Bond Prices up). This is a favorite area for future traps.
Use the 'Rational Actor' Logic. If interest rates (the reward for saving) go down, a rational person has LESS incentive to save, so (D) is unlikely. If loans are cheaper, consumption should technically rise, not fall, so (A) is wrong. Between (B) and (C), (C) is a behavior of the market participants directly responding to price signals, while (B) relies on complex government efficiency. Always bet on the market's direct price response.
Mains GS-3 (Indian Economy - Monetary Policy): This concept explains the 'Monetary Policy Transmission' challenge in India. Even if RBI cuts repo rates (policy rate), if banks don't lower lending rates, Investment (Option C) won't rise. This is a structural bottleneck often asked in Mains.