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Q61 (IAS/2014) Economy › Money, Banking & Inflation › Interest rate concepts Official Key

If the interest rate is decreased in an economy, it will

Result
Your answer:  ·  Correct: C
Explanation

The correct answer is option C because interest rate is the cost of investible funds, and at higher interest rates, firms tend to lower investment[1]. Conversely, when interest rates decrease, the cost of borrowing falls, making investment more attractive. All else equal, when the interest rate rises, the cost of investing—the interest the business will pay—rises, resulting in less investment overall[2]. Therefore, a decrease in interest rates will have the opposite effect, increasing investment expenditure.

Option A is incorrect because growth in household consumption expenditure generally follows the same trend as growth in disposable income[3], and lower interest rates typically encourage rather than decrease consumption. Option B is incorrect as there is no direct automatic relationship between interest rate decreases and increased tax collection. Option D is incorrect because supply of savings results in lower interest rates, and a lower supply of savings results in higher interest rates[4], indicating that lower interest rates generally discourage rather than increase savings.

Sources
  1. [1] Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > 4.3.2 Effect of an Autonomous Change in Aggregate Demand on Income and Output > p. 60
  2. [2] https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11020
  3. [4] https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11020
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Q. If the interest rate is decreased in an economy, it will [A] decrease the consumption expenditure in the economy [B] increase the tax c…
At a glance
Origin: Books + Current Affairs Fairness: Low / Borderline fairness Books / CA: 2.5/10 · 5/10

This is a classic 'Sitter' derived directly from NCERT Macroeconomics. It tests the fundamental Investment Function (I = f(r)). While real-world economics is messy, UPSC Prelims demands the primary theoretical relationship: Interest Rate is the cost of capital; when it falls, Investment rises. Ignore secondary effects like tax buoyancy.

How this question is built

This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.

Statement 1
Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy decrease household consumption expenditure?
Origin: Weak / unclear Fairness: Borderline / guessy
Indirect textbook clues
Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > a) Demand-Pull Inflation > p. 63
Strength: 5/5
“(a) Demand-Pull Inflation • It is caused by an increase in aggregate demand and consumption due to 'n (i) increased private and government spending, (ii) lower rate of savings by households, (iii) depreciation in local exchange rate, (iv) reduction in taxes and (v) increase in money supply and bank credit. • This leads to increased disposable income in the hands of households, thereby resulting a. in increase in the aggregate demand with no change in aggregate supply”
Why relevant

Explains that increased money supply and bank credit lead to higher disposable income and increased consumption (demand‑pull inflation driver).

How to extend

A student can infer that lower interest rates tend to raise bank credit/money supply, which would likely raise household consumption rather than decrease it.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 77
Strength: 5/5
“• Demand-Pull inflation caused by increased private and government spending, lower rate of savings by households, depreciation in local exchange rate, reduction in taxes and increase in money supply and bank credit - increased disposable income - increase in the aggregate demand. • Cost-Push inflation (supply shock) inflation caused by growing cost of factors of production of goods and services, increase in indirect taxes, increase in import prices, higher cost of capital, interest rates, etc. EXAMPLE Previous Years' Preliminary Examination Questions EXAMPLE Previous Press”
Why relevant

Summarises that increases in money supply and bank credit increase disposable income and aggregate demand via higher private spending.

How to extend

Combine this with the fact that lower interest rates usually boost credit and money creation to judge that consumption would rise, not fall.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > Deflation > p. 74
Strength: 4/5
“It is a decrease in general price levels of goods and services throughout an economy. If there is a higher supply of goods and services but not enough money supply to combat the situation, deflation can occur. Deflation is mainly caused by shifts in supply and demand. Deflation is usually associated with significant unemployment. However, deflation increases the value of money. When inflation becomes negative, it leads to deflation. It is invariably associated with recession, i.e. negative growth in the economy. To check deflation, the following measures can be taken to increase money supply: • Increase Government spending ٥• Lower bank rate and repo rates• Print more currency e• Decrease taxes to boost demand ۰”
Why relevant

Recommends lowering bank/repo rates as a policy to increase money supply and boost demand when fighting deflation.

How to extend

Use the policy link (lower rates → more money supply → higher demand) to infer effects on household consumption.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > Paradox of Thrift > p. 63
Strength: 4/5
“This may happen due to a new information regarding an imminent war or some other impending disaster, which makes people more circumspect and conservative about their expenditures. Hence the mps of the economy increases, or, alternatively, the mpc decreases from 0.8 to 0.5. At the initial income level of AD* 1 = Y * 1 = 250, this sudden decline in mpc will imply a decrease in aggregate consumption spending and hence in aggregate demand, AD = A + cY , by an amount equal to (0.8 – 0.5) 250 = 75. This can be regarded as an autonomous reduction in consumption expenditure, to the extent that the change in mpc is occurring from some exogenous cause and is not a consequence of changes in the variables of the model.”
Why relevant

Shows how changes in the marginal propensity to consume (mpc) change aggregate consumption for a given income level.

How to extend

A student could combine the mpc mechanism with lower rates' effect on disposable income or borrowing to assess net consumption change.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.31 Previous Years Questions > p. 116
Strength: 3/5
“If the interest rate is decreased in an economy, it will [2014] • (a) Decrease the consumption expenditure in the economy• (b) Increase the tax collection of the Government• (c) Increase the investment expenditure in the economy• (d) Increase the total savings in the economy• 17. With reference to Indian economy, consider the following: [2015] • (i) Bank rate• (ii) Open market operations• (iii) Public debt• (iv) Public Revenue”
Why relevant

Contains a past-question framing that links a fall in interest rates to possible changes in consumption, investment and savings—highlighting common textbook comparisons.

How to extend

Use this as a checklist: compare whether lower rates more strongly affect borrowing/consumption or investment in the relevant economy to judge the statement.

Statement 2
Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase government tax collection (tax revenue)?
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 3/5
"All else equal, when the interest rate rises, the cost of investing—the interest the business will pay—rises, resulting in less investment overall."
Why this source?
  • Explains that higher interest rates raise the cost of investing and reduce investment, implying that lower rates (the reverse) increase investment and interest-sensitive spending.
  • Increased investment and consumer spending from lower rates can raise economic activity, which is a pathway to higher tax receipts.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"the introduction of NIRs is associated with a 2.3 to 2.6 percentage point decrease in effective tax rates."
Why this source?
  • Provides empirical evidence that (negative) lower interest rates are associated with lower effective corporate tax rates, which would reduce tax collection.
  • Shows a direct link between very low/negative rates and firms' tax behavior, countering a simple claim that lower rates always increase tax revenue.
Web source
Presence: 2/5
"Interest Rates ... illustrate the sensitivity of the budget to changes in interest rates, which affect the flow of interest payments to and from the federal government."
Why this source?
  • Notes that interest rates affect flows of interest payments to and from the government, illustrating that interest-rate changes change fiscal balances via interest expense rather than directly via tax collections.
  • This indicates a separate channel (debt service) by which lower rates affect the government's budget even if tax revenue effects are ambiguous.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.31 Previous Years Questions > p. 116
Strength: 3/5
“If the interest rate is decreased in an economy, it will [2014] • (a) Decrease the consumption expenditure in the economy• (b) Increase the tax collection of the Government• (c) Increase the investment expenditure in the economy• (d) Increase the total savings in the economy• 17. With reference to Indian economy, consider the following: [2015] • (i) Bank rate• (ii) Open market operations• (iii) Public debt• (iv) Public Revenue”
Why relevant

This exam-style item explicitly lists 'increase the tax collection of the Government' as a possible consequence of a decrease in interest rates, showing the claim is commonly considered and debated.

How to extend

A student could take this as an example claim to test by tracing channels (rates → investment/consumption → GDP → tax receipts) using standard macro relations and data.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > TAX ELASTICITY AND TAX BUOYANCY > p. 101
Strength: 5/5
“Tax Elasticity - It is a measure of the degree of responsiveness of the change in tax collection due to the change in tax rate. Laffer curve is the graphical representation of tax elasticity. Tax Buoyancy - It refers to the responsiveness of tax revenue growth to the changes in GDP. Tax Buoyancy = per cent change in tax revenue/ per cent change in GDP It is an indicator to measure efficiency and responsiveness of revenue mobilisation in response to growth in the gross domestic product or national income. A tax is said to be buoyant if the tax revenue increases more than proportionately in response to a rise in national income or output.”
Why relevant

Defines tax buoyancy/elasticity: tax revenue responsiveness to changes in GDP and tax rates, providing a rule that links economic output changes to tax collections.

How to extend

Combine this with the standard fact that lower interest rates can raise aggregate demand/output to assess whether induced GDP growth would mechanically raise tax revenue via buoyancy.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Fiscal Drag > p. 117
Strength: 4/5
“• When inflation or income growth moves taxpayers into higher tax brackets, Government tax revenue increases without actually increasing the tax rates. The increase in tax payments by taxpayers reduces the overall consumer spending as a larger share of their income now goes into taxes, which leads to deflationary pressure or drag in the economy.”
Why relevant

Explains 'fiscal drag'—income growth or inflation can raise tax revenue by moving taxpayers into higher brackets without changing rates, showing tax receipts depend on income distribution and nominal incomes.

How to extend

A student could examine whether lower interest rates raise incomes (or inflation) enough to cause bracket creep and thus higher nominal tax receipts.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Changes in Taxes > p. 74
Strength: 4/5
“We find that a cut in taxes increases disposable income (Y – T ) at each level of income. This shifts the aggregate expenditure schedule upwards by a fraction c of the decrease in taxes. This is shown in Fig 5.2. From equation 5.3, we can calculate the tax multiplier using the same method as for the government expenditure multiplier . The tax multiplier Because a tax cut (increase) will cause an increase (reduction) in consumption and output, the tax multiplier is a negative multiplier . Comparing equation (5.6) and (5.8), we find that the tax multiplier is smaller in absolute value compared to the government spending multiplier.”
Why relevant

Shows how changes in taxes affect disposable income, consumption and equilibrium output via the tax multiplier, illustrating the two-way link between taxes and aggregate demand/output.

How to extend

Use this multiplier logic in reverse: if lower rates raise output, apply tax buoyancy/tax multiplier ideas to estimate likely change in tax revenue.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Fiscal Policy can be either expansionary or contractionary. > p. 154
Strength: 3/5
“Pumping money into the economy by decreasing tax level and increasing government spending is also known as pump priming. With more money in the economy and fewer taxes to pay, consumer demand for goods and services increases. This in turn rekindles businesses and turns the cycle around from stagnant to active.• Contractionary fiscal policy: In case of contractionary fiscal policy, Govt. reduces spending and increases tax levels to suck the money out of economy and hence reduces the aggregate demand. For example, when the inflation in the economy is high, the economy may need a slowdown. In such a situation, the government can use its fiscal policy to decrease public spending and increase taxes to suck money out of the economy”
Why relevant

Describes 'pump priming' (fiscal expansion via lower taxes and higher spending) and contrasts with contractionary fiscal policy, highlighting that tax policy affects aggregate demand—implying tax receipts depend on demand conditions.

How to extend

A student can analogize: monetary stimulus (lower rates) similarly boosts demand, so assess whether resulting demand-led growth would increase tax collections.

Statement 3
Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase investment expenditure by firms?
Origin: Direct from books Fairness: Straightforward Book-answerable
From standard books
Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > 4.3.2 Effect of an Autonomous Change in Aggregate Demand on Income and Output > p. 60
Presence: 5/5
“Another factor is interest rate: interest rate is the cost of investible funds, and at higher interest rates, firms tend to lower investment. Let us now concentrate on change in investment with the help of the following example. Now, let investment rise to 20. It can be seen that the new equilibrium will be 300. This can be seen by looking at the graph. This increase in income is due to rise in investment, which is a component of autonomous expenditure here. When autonomous investment increases, the AD1 line shifts in parallel upwards and assumes the position AD2 . The value of aggregate demand at 60”
Why this source?
  • States interest rate is the cost of investible funds and that higher interest rates lead firms to lower investment.
  • Links changes in interest rates directly to investment behaviour in the macro (AD/equilibrium) context.
Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 20: Investment Models > FACTORS AFFECTING INVESTMENTS > p. 581
Presence: 5/5
“Investment in any sector depends on two basic factors: • (i) Income Higher is the income, more will be the investment.• (ii) Rate of Interest in Banks Higher is the rate of interest, lesser will be the investment. In other words, more income indicates more saving, more saving leads to more investment and more investments give more return and thus more income. Other factors which affect the investment in a country are tax rate, inflation, possible rate of return on capital investment, availability of the factors of production like cheaper land and labour, proper transportation and communication, energy availability, etc., and above all the policies of the government.”
Why this source?
  • Explicitly lists rate of interest as a factor affecting investment and states 'Higher is the rate of interest, lesser will be the investment.'
  • Connects interest-rate movements to private saving–investment decisions, supporting an inverse relationship.
Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Findings from previous years Economic Surveys > p. 159
Presence: 4/5
“In contrast, when the GDP growth rate is low, no such causal relationship is reflected between growth and public debt. (This is because higher growth enables the IRGD to be negative and thereby ensuring debt sustainability).• The phenomenon of crowding out of private investment is based on the notion that supply of savings in the economy is fixed. Therefore, higher fiscal spending may increase the demand for loanable funds and hence exert an upward pressure on interest rates, thereby discouraging private investment.”
Why this source?
  • Explains the crowding-out mechanism: higher demand for loanable funds raises interest rates and discourages private investment.
  • Provides the loanable-funds channel linking interest-rate increases to reduced private investment, implying the reverse when rates fall.
Statement 4
Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase total savings in the economy?
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 4/5
"supply of savings results in lower interest rates, and a lower supply of savings results in higher interest rates, all else equal."
Why this source?
  • States that the supply of savings causes lower interest rates (causality from savings to rates, not the reverse).
  • Explicitly links an increase in the supply of savings to declining interest rates and higher business investment, implying rates fall because savings rise rather than rates causing savings to rise.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"Saving and Investment One of the long-term determinants of business investment is the level of savings available to the economy. ... interest rates in the United States are influenced by the supply of global, in addition to national, savings."
Why this source?
  • Explains that interest rates are influenced by the supply of savings (national and global), again indicating savings drive rates.
  • Framing implies changes in interest rates are effects of changes in savings supply, not necessarily drivers of total savings.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > Transmission of Repo Rate into Lending Rate > p. 89
Strength: 5/5
“This is because if the rate in the money market increases then the interest rate on the bonds (in the capital market) also increases and banks facing competition from the higher interest rate on bonds increase the interest rate for depositors. And when the deposit rate changes, banks change their lending rates as already explained before. [In short, Repo rate changes transmit through the money market to the entire financial system, which, in turn, influences aggregate demand – a key determinant of inflation and growth. The Monetary Policy Framework aims at setting the policy (repo) rate based on an assessment of the current and evolving macroeconomic situation.”
Why relevant

Explains transmission: when policy (repo) rate falls, deposit rates charged to savers tend to fall as well—showing one direct channel by which interest changes affect the return on saving.

How to extend

A student could combine this with the basic idea that lower returns on deposits reduce the incentive to save (substitution effect) to judge whether aggregate saving might fall.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > Paradox of Thrift > p. 63
Strength: 5/5
“If all the people of the economy increase the proportion of income they save (i.e. if the mps of the economy increases) the total value of savings in the economy will not increase – it will either decline or remain unchanged. This result is known as the Paradox of Thrift – which states that as people become more thrifty they end up saving less or same as before. This result, though sounds apparently impossible, is actually a simple application of the model we have learnt. Let us continue with the example. Suppose at the initial equilibrium of Y = 250, there is an exogenous or autonomous shift in peoples' expenditure pattern – they suddenly become more thrifty.”
Why relevant

States the Paradox of Thrift: changes in individual saving propensity can produce counterintuitive aggregate effects (higher propensity to save can leave total savings unchanged or lower).

How to extend

Use this rule to recognise that interest-driven changes in behaviour might be offset by income changes (e.g., lower rates → more investment → higher income) so total savings could move unpredictably.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.28 Liquidity Trap > p. 111
Strength: 4/5
“To pull the economy out of recession i.e. to stimulate the economy, the Central Bank may reduce the repo rate to increase the supply of money and to push demand. When the repo rate is reduced, the banks will reduce the deposit rates and lending rate. But if the demand in the economy is not increasing, then Central Bank may further reduce the repo rate to increase the money supply and demand. But if still the economy is not pulled out of recession/slowdown and the demand is not increasing, then Central Bank may keep on reducing the repo rate and the banks will keep on reducing their deposit and lending rates.”
Why relevant

Discusses liquidity trap: even with repeated cuts in policy rate and falling deposit/lending rates, aggregate demand may not respond—showing that rate cuts do not always stimulate income or spending.

How to extend

Combine with the idea that if rate cuts fail to raise income, the expected income effect on savings won’t materialise, so lower rates could reduce savings via lower returns without compensating income gains.

Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 3: Money and Banking > The Speculative Motive > p. 46
Strength: 3/5
“If supply of money in the economy increases and people purchase bonds with this extra money, demand for bonds will go up, bond prices will rise and rate of interest will decline. In other words, with an increased supply of money in the economy the price you have to pay for holding money balance, viz. the rate of interest, should”
Why relevant

Describes how increased money supply can raise bond demand, push up bond prices and lower interest rates—giving an example of how market operations change interest rates and asset allocations.

How to extend

A student could use this mechanism plus knowledge of portfolio choices (moving into bonds or spending) to infer whether lower market rates shift funds away from bank saving into other assets or consumption.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Macro Economy > The household sector now decides to spend only Rs. 70 for its consumption purpose and save Rs. 30 out of the total Rs. 100 earned. > p. 11
Strength: 4/5
“Greater the saving in the economy, greater will be the production of capital goods. As we know, that portion of the final output which comprises of capital goods is also called investment, hence savings will be equal to investment and higher the savings, higher will be the investment. This shows that if an economy wants to produce more goods and services in future years then it must produce capital goods (i.e., investment) first, which in turn implies that the economy should save more. Higher the savings, higher will be the capital goods produced in the economy which will propel the economy on a higher growth path.”
Why relevant

States the standard macro relation that higher aggregate saving enables more capital formation (saving = investment) and links saving to future income and production.

How to extend

Combine with the possibility that lower interest rates may raise investment (increasing incomes) — which could raise total savings even if propensity to save falls; this highlights the opposing channels to weigh.

Pattern takeaway: UPSC Economics questions often look like real-world puzzles but are actually theoretical checks. They penalize 'over-thinking' (e.g., arguing that low rates might cause inflation which hurts investment). Stick to the ceteris paribus (all else equal) textbook definitions found in NCERT.
How you should have studied
  1. [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. Direct hit from NCERT Class XII Macroeconomics, Chapter 4 (Determination of Income and Employment).
  2. [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: The 'Investment Function' and Monetary Policy Transmission mechanism.
  3. [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize these sibling macro-relations: 1) Bond Prices and Interest Rates are inversely related. 2) Liquidity Trap: Situation where low interest rates fail to stimulate demand. 3) Crowding Out: High Govt borrowing raises interest rates, lowering private investment. 4) Paradox of Thrift: If everyone saves more, aggregate demand falls. 5) Phillips Curve: Short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
  4. [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Distinguish between 'First-Order Effects' and 'Second-Order Effects'. Lower rates -> Cheaper Loans -> Higher Investment (First Order/Direct). Lower rates -> Higher Growth -> Higher Tax (Second Order/Indirect). Always mark the First Order effect.
Concept hooks from this question
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Interest rates, money supply and household demand
💡 The insight

References link lower bank/market rates and increased money supply/credit to higher disposable income and demand, implying rate cuts tend to raise—not lower—consumption.

High‑yield for UPSC economics: explains transmission of monetary policy to aggregate demand and consumption, connects monetary policy to inflation and deflation management, and appears in questions on policy effects and macro stabilisation. Prepare by mapping channels (interest rate → cost of borrowing, savings incentive, credit availability → consumption/investment) and practising policy‑effect scenarios.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > a) Demand-Pull Inflation > p. 63
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > Deflation > p. 74
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 77
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy decrease household consumption e..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and autonomous shifts in consumption
💡 The insight

Evidence explains how changes in MPC (or exogenous shocks to consumer confidence) change aggregate consumption independently of interest rates.

Core macro concept: MPC governs multiplier effects of consumption changes on aggregate demand and output; frequently tested in theory and application (shocks, multipliers, fiscal policy effectiveness). Study derivations, example problems (as in the references), and linkages to fiscal/monetary policy outcomes.

📚 Reading List :
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > Paradox of Thrift > p. 63
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 2: National Income Accounting > 2.2 CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME AND METHODS OF CALCULATING NATIONAL INCOME > p. 14
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy decrease household consumption e..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Demand‑pull inflation and its drivers
💡 The insight

References identify increased private spending, money supply/credit and lower household savings as causes of demand‑pull inflation—showing how changes that raise consumption affect price levels.

Important for questions on inflation causes and macro policy trade‑offs: helps explain why policymakers may change rates or fiscal stance. Study causal links (AD shifts → price level), interplay with monetary/fiscal measures, and typical policy responses.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > a) Demand-Pull Inflation > p. 63
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 4: Inflation > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 77
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > EXAMPLE 5.1 > p. 77
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy decrease household consumption e..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Fiscal drag
💡 The insight

Explains how rising incomes or inflation can raise government tax receipts without changing tax rates; relevant when considering indirect channels from macro policy to tax revenue.

High-yield for UPSC: fiscal drag links income growth, bracket effects and automatic increases in tax receipts — important for questions on revenue dynamics and fiscal stance. It connects fiscal policy, inflation, and disposable income; typical question patterns ask how revenue responds to growth/inflation. Prepare by learning definition, mechanism and examples of bracket creep.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > Fiscal Drag > p. 117
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 16: Terminology > 16 Terminology > p. 456
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase government tax collecti..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Tax buoyancy and tax elasticity
💡 The insight

These measure how tax revenue responds to changes in GDP (buoyancy) and to tax rate changes (elasticity), useful to infer whether policies that raise output might raise tax collections.

Core concept for revenue analysis in UPSC mains: helps assess efficiency of revenue mobilisation and the impact of growth or policy on receipts. It links macro growth, fiscal metrics and budget outcomes; questions often ask to interpret buoyancy/elasticity or compute them. Study definitions, formulae and implications for fiscal planning.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 5: Indian Tax Structure and Public Finance > TAX ELASTICITY AND TAX BUOYANCY > p. 101
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase government tax collecti..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Tax multiplier (effect of taxes on output and disposable income)
💡 The insight

Shows how changes in taxes alter consumption and equilibrium income — relevant for tracing how policy shocks (including those affecting interest rates indirectly) might influence tax revenue via output changes.

Useful for analytical answers in UPSC: connects fiscal instruments to aggregate demand and income, enabling evaluation of revenue consequences of policy changes. Frequently used in application-type questions on fiscal multipliers and policy transmission. Master by practicing derivations and comparative examples of spending vs tax multipliers.

📚 Reading List :
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 5: Government Budget and the Economy > Changes in Taxes > p. 74
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase government tax collecti..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S3
👉 Interest rate as the cost of investible funds
💡 The insight

References state interest is the cost of borrowing/investible funds and that higher rates reduce firm investment, so lower rates encourage investment.

High-yield macro concept: it directly underpins questions on monetary policy, investment function and aggregate demand. Mastering this helps answer policy-effect and multiplier questions; prepare by practising AD/IS and investment schedule shifts and relating rate changes to investment decisions.

📚 Reading List :
  • Macroeconomics (NCERT class XII 2025 ed.) > Chapter 4: Determination of Income and Employment > 4.3.2 Effect of an Autonomous Change in Aggregate Demand on Income and Output > p. 60
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 20: Investment Models > FACTORS AFFECTING INVESTMENTS > p. 581
🔗 Anchor: "Does a decrease in interest rates in an economy increase investment expenditure ..."
🌑 The Hidden Trap

The 'Bond Price' Inverse Relation. Since this question tested the link between Interest Rates and Investment, the next logical question from the same NCERT chapter is the link between Interest Rates and Bond Prices (Rates down = Bond Prices up). This is a favorite area for future traps.

⚡ Elimination Cheat Code

Use the 'Rational Actor' Logic. If interest rates (the reward for saving) go down, a rational person has LESS incentive to save, so (D) is unlikely. If loans are cheaper, consumption should technically rise, not fall, so (A) is wrong. Between (B) and (C), (C) is a behavior of the market participants directly responding to price signals, while (B) relies on complex government efficiency. Always bet on the market's direct price response.

🔗 Mains Connection

Mains GS-3 (Indian Economy - Monetary Policy): This concept explains the 'Monetary Policy Transmission' challenge in India. Even if RBI cuts repo rates (policy rate), if banks don't lower lending rates, Investment (Option C) won't rise. This is a structural bottleneck often asked in Mains.

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SIMILAR QUESTIONS

IAS · 2013 · Q60 Relevance score: 0.35

Supply of money remaining the same when there is an increase in demand for money, there will be

CDS-II · 2023 · Q120 Relevance score: -0.43

What would be the impact on the economy if people start holding more currency in hand and less in deposits?

CDS-II · 2013 · Q62 Relevance score: -0.76

The effect of a government surplus upon the equilibrium level of NNP (Net National Product) is substantially the same as :

IAS · 2021 · Q33 Relevance score: -0.81

Which among the following steps is most likely to be taken at the time of an economic recession?

CDS-I · 2012 · Q22 Relevance score: -0.86

Which of the following measures should be taken when an eco- nomy is going through infla- tionary pressures ? 1. The direct taxes should be increased. 2. The interest rate should be reduced. 3. The public Spending should be increased. Select the correct answer using the codes given below—