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Which of the following has/have occurred in India after its liberalization of economic policies in 1991 ? 1. Share of agriculture in GDP increased enormously. 2. Share of India's exports in world trade increased. 3. FDI inflows increased. 4. India's foreign exchange reserves increased enormously. Select the correct answer using the codes given below :
Explanation
The correct answer is option B (statements 2, 3, and 4 only).
**Statement 1 is incorrect**: The share of agriculture in national GDP has been declining from over 50% in 1950-51 to 16% in 2019-20.[1] In the last 73 years after independence, Indian economy has moved from a dominant agricultural sector to the services sector constituting 54% share in India's GDP.[2] This clearly shows agriculture's share decreased, not increased.
**Statement 2 is correct**: While the documents mention India's declining share in global exports in certain contexts, the post-1991 liberalization period saw increased integration with world trade and expansion of India's export capabilities, particularly in services and manufacturing sectors.
**Statement 3 is correct**: Before the 1991 economic reforms, India's FDI inflows as a percentage of GDP were low and volatile, fluctuating around low single-digit percentages due to restrictive policies and regulatory barriers.[3] After 1991, the new policy was much more actively supportive of foreign investment in a wide range of activities. Permission is automatically granted for foreign equity investment up to 51% in a large list of 34 industries.[4]
**Statement 4 is correct**: India's Forex Reserves increased from $5.8 billion in 1991-92 to $407 billion by end of March 2018 and $505.7 billion by end of June 2020. India's forex reserves have increased to a great extent over the years from 1991-92 onwards.[5]
Sources- [1] Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 10: Agriculture - Part I > 10.2 Agriculture in India: A brief history > p. 302
- [2] Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 6: Indian Economy [1947 â 2014] > 6.5 Economy Jumped from Agriculture to Services > p. 220
- [3] https://www.jetir.org/papers/JETIR2501646.pdf
- [4] Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 6: Indian Economy [1947 â 2014] > Following lists down the details of the major reforms carried out in June-July 1991: > p. 216
- [5] Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: Indiaâs Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > RESERVE ADEQUACY FEW MONTHS OF IMPORTS RULE VERSUS GUIDOTTI-GREENSPAN RULE > p. 497
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Guest previewThis is a foundational 'Macroeconomic Trends' question. It tests your grasp of the '1991 vs Now' story. It is considered a 'Sitter' because it relies on the most basic outcome of development economics: as an economy grows, the agricultural share in GDP falls, not rises. If you know the 1991 crisis was about Forex, you know it increased enormously later.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: How did the share of agriculture in India's GDP change after the 1991 economic liberalization? Provide the trend and percentage-point change.
- Statement 2: How did India's share of world merchandise exports change after the 1991 economic liberalization? Provide the trend and percentage-point change.
- Statement 3: How did foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to India change after the 1991 economic liberalization? Provide annual inflow figures and trends.
- Statement 4: How did India's foreign exchange reserves change after the 1991 economic liberalization? Provide figures showing the magnitude of the increase.
- Gives a postâliberalization observation (1993/94) for agriculture's share of GDP: 14%.
- Provides earlier benchmark shares (e.g., 28% for 1980/81) showing a decline by the early 1990s period captured in the chart.
- States that agriculture's share was about 30% in the early 1990s and explicitly notes India embraced a new Economic Policy in 1991.
- Combining this earlyâ1990s level (~30%) with the 1993/94 value (14%) yields the percentageâpoint change after liberalization.
Gives a long-term pattern: the share of agriculture in GDP fell from over 50% in 1950â51 to 16% in 2019â20.
A student can use this end-point (2019â20 = 16%) and look up or recall the agriculture share around 1991 to compute the post-1991 percentage-point change and infer the declining trend.
Describes structural shift: economy moved from agriculture-dominated (55% at independence) to services-dominated (54% more recently), signalling a persistent decline in agriculture's GDP share.
Use this pattern (shift to services) to infer that after 1991 liberalisation the agricultural share likely continued to fall as services grew; combine with specific pre/post-1991 data to quantify change.
States that after 1991 the services sector was among the fastest growing parts of the economy, implying agriculture's share would fall as services expanded.
Treat the post-1991 services surge as a causal clue; a student can compare agriculture's share before and after 1991 to estimate the percentage-point decline attributable to this shift.
An exam-style item explicitly lists 'Share of agriculture in GDP increase enormously' as a proposed post-1991 outcome, implying this is a contested/common misconception to be evaluated.
A student should reject that option by checking actual series for agriculture's share (pre- and post-1991) â the exam framing directs attention to verify rather than assume an increase.
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This statement analysis shows book citations, web sources and indirect clues. The first statement (S1) is open for preview.
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