Question map
Consider the following statements : 1. The value of Indo-Sri Lanka trade has consistently increased in the last decade. 2. "Textile and textile articles" constitute an important item of trade between India and Bangladesh. 3. In the last five years, Nepal has been the largest trading partner of India in South Asia. Which of the statements given above is/are correct ?
Explanation
The correct answer is Option 2. The explanation for each statement is as follows:
- Statement 1 is incorrect: The value of Indo-Sri Lanka trade has been fluctuating rather than showing a "consistent" increase over the last decade. Factors such as Sri Lanka’s economic crisis, foreign exchange shortages, and shifting demand patterns led to declines in specific years (e.g., 2012-13, 2015-16, and 2019-20).
- Statement 2 is correct: India and Bangladesh share a robust trade relationship in the textile sector. Bangladesh is a global hub for garment manufacturing and relies heavily on India for raw materials like cotton, yarn, and fabric. Reciprocally, textile articles are a major export from Bangladesh to India.
- Statement 3 is incorrect: In the last five years, Bangladesh, not Nepal, has consistently been India's largest trading partner in South Asia, followed by Sri Lanka or Nepal depending on the fiscal year.
Therefore, only statement 2 accurately reflects the trade dynamics of the region.
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Guest previewThis is a classic 'Economic Survey' trend question disguised as a static geography question. You don't need 10 years of data; you need to spot the 'extreme modifier' trap ('consistently') and know the basic hierarchy of India's neighbors (Bangladesh > Sri Lanka/Nepal in economic size).
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Did the value of India–Sri Lanka (Indo–Sri Lanka) bilateral trade increase year-on-year in every year during 2010–2019?
- Statement 2: Are "textile and textile articles" among the top traded commodity categories in India–Bangladesh bilateral trade in recent years (e.g., 2015–2019)?
- Statement 3: Was Nepal the largest trading partner of India among South Asian countries during 2015–2019?
Notes that India has a bilateral Free Trade Agreement with Sri Lanka, a policy instrument that typically encourages higher bilateral trade flows.
A student could infer the FTA likely supported trade growth and then check year-by-year trade statistics (2010–2019) to see if growth was uninterrupted.
States explicitly that India signed a free trade agreement with Sri Lanka and that such agreements strengthen relations and post-disaster aid has boosted ties—providing an explanatory link for potential trade increases.
Use this as a hypothesis that trade should trend upward post-FTA, then compare annual bilateral trade values (e.g., from customs or UN COMTRADE) for 2010–2019 to test for any year-on-year declines.
Describes India's total external trade as having 'continuous increase with occasional downturns', indicating that even when overall trade trends upward, some years may show declines.
Apply this general rule to bilateral trade: a student should not assume monotonic yearly growth and should check each year's bilateral data for downturns within 2010–2019.
Provides a concrete example (India–China bilateral trade) of large multi-year increases but over long periods, not asserting uninterrupted year-on-year growth, illustrating that growth can be uneven.
Use this comparative example to caution that large decadal rises don't guarantee no single-year declines; verify Indo–Sri Lanka annual series for gaps in growth.
Mentions a 2019 trilateral agreement to develop Colombo Port infrastructure, showing that infrastructure and agreements can change trade capacity in specific years (affecting annual flows).
A student could consider such 2019 developments as potential reasons for a jump or recovery in trade that year, then inspect annual data around 2018–2019 to see impacts.
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