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Q67 (IAS/2024) Geography β€Ί World Human & Economic Geography β€Ί World population patterns Official Key

Consider the following countries : 1. Italy 2. Japan 3. Nigeria 4. South Korea 5. South Africa Which of the above countries are frequently mentioned in the media for their low birth rates, or ageing population or declining population ?

Result
Your answer: β€”  Β·  Correct: A
Explanation

The correct answer is option A (Italy, Japan, and South Korea).

Italy has around 23% of its population over 65, caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy[1], making it one of the most aged societies frequently discussed in demographic contexts. Japan leads the way as the most aged society, with nearly 30% of its population over 65[2], and is prominently featured in discussions about aging populations. In Asia, South Korea is also aging rapidly and has one of the lowest fertility rates[3], making it a focal point in media coverage of demographic decline.

In contrast, Nigeria and South Africa are African nations that are not typically associated with low birth rates or aging populations. Industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts[4], and African countries generally have younger populations with higher fertility rates compared to developed nations in Europe and East Asia. Therefore, countries 1, 2, and 4 (Italy, Japan, and South Korea) are the ones frequently mentioned for these demographic challenges.

Sources
  1. [1] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  2. [2] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  3. [3] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  4. [4] Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
How others answered
Each bar shows the % of students who chose that option. Green bar = correct answer, blue outline = your choice.
Community Performance
Out of everyone who attempted this question.
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got it right
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
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Q. Consider the following countries : 1. Italy 2. Japan 3. Nigeria 4. South Korea 5. South Africa Which of the above countries are fre…
At a glance
Origin: Mostly Current Affairs Fairness: Low / Borderline fairness Books / CA: 0/10 Β· 8/10
Statement 1
Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 5/5
"Germany and Italy follow with around 21% and 23%, respectively, caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy."
Why this source?
  • Explicitly names Italy as one of the countries with a high share of older people.
  • Directly links Italy’s age structure to low birth rates and high life expectancy with a numeric share.
Web source
Presence: 3/5
"**Lower fertility, an ageing population** ----------------------------------------- The world’s overall fertility rates are dropping, **with women having one child fewer on average than they did around 1990**."
Why this source?
  • States the global pattern of 'Lower fertility, an ageing population', supporting the broader context behind media attention to low birth rates and ageing.
  • Provides a clear statement that overall fertility rates are dropping, which is the phenomenon cited for countries like Italy.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Strength: 5/5
β€œThe world is experiencing an ever increasing rise in human numbers. The rise differs greatly from country to country, e.g. 2.8 per cent per year in Malaysia, and 1.3 per cent in Japan. It has been found that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts. Can you attempt to explain why? Countries. 29,A A slum in the overcrowded Peruvian port of Callao. The need for housing and employment are two problems posed by population expansion Camera Press With a higher standard of living (Britain, Sweden, the U.S.A., Australia) have lower rates of population growth (i.e. families tend to be smaller) than countries where the standard of living is lower (e.g.”
Why relevant

States that industrial (higher-standard-of-living) countries usually have lower birth rates and gives Japan as an example of low growth.

How to extend

A student could note that Italy is an industrial/high‑income European country like Japan and therefore might exhibit similar low birth/slow growth patterns to investigate media references.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
Strength: 4/5
β€œThis stage is characterised by low death rate and low birth rate. Consequently, population grows at a diminishing rate.”
Why relevant

Defines a demographic stage (stage III) characterised by low death rate and low birth rate leading to diminishing population growth.

How to extend

If Italy is placed in stage III of the demographic transition (as other developed countries are), one would expect media coverage about low/declining population to follow β€” worth checking Italian demographic data and press.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 4/5
β€œβ€’ Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small Γ— family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Lists causes of low birth rate (industrialisation, women’s participation, improved education) that are typical of developed economies.

How to extend

A student can compare whether these socio‑economic factors apply to Italy (industrialised economy, female labour force participation, education levels) to assess plausibility of media focus on low births/ageing.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
Strength: 3/5
β€œMany people including women go to work in factories and offices. Since the survival of children is ensured, people tend to have small families. Moreover, in order to maintain a better standard of living, small families are preferred. Over the years, all these factors have led to reduction in birth rates. Reduction in both birth rate and death rate results in low natural growth rate. Thus, a gradual and smooth population growth is established. When population increases in a country, it has to be provided with a corresponding increase in basic amenities, such as food, clothing, shelter, educational institutions, hospitals, drinking water, transport, and electricity.”
Why relevant

Explains that female participation in work and higher living standards reduce birth rates, producing low natural growth.

How to extend

Knowing Italy has relatively high urbanisation and female workforce participation by OECD standards (basic outside fact), a student could infer these mechanisms plausibly lead to media discussion of ageing/decline and then check reports.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
Strength: 3/5
β€œAt present, India is in a state of rapid fertility transition with the pace of decline having accelerated in recent years. India's population is in the late expanding stage in which birth rate is falling, death rate is also falling and population continues to grow. This is because of: (i) family planning, (ii) lower infant mortality, (iii) changing status of women and (iv) increase in standard of living. The pace of decline varies from state to state and experiences of Andhra Pradesh, Nagaland, Goa, Tamil Nadu, W. Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Odisha, and Kerala indicate that the Crude Birth Rate (CBR) can go much below the replacement level of fertility.”
Why relevant

Notes that some regions/countries can reach fertility below replacement level (examples include several Indian states), showing that low birth rates and eventual population decline are documented outcomes of transition.

How to extend

A student can apply the same logic to a developed nation: if Italy’s crude birth rate is below replacement (external fact to check), media mention of decline/ageing becomes plausible.

Statement 2
Japan is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 5/5
"Japan leads the way as the most aged society, with nearly 30% of its population over 65. ... caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy."
Why this source?
  • Explicitly identifies Japan as the most aged society, directly linking it to the claim about an ageing population.
  • Gives a concrete measure (nearly 30% over 65) and attributes the age structure to low birth rates and high life expectancy.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"Population ageing is a global phenomenon driven by the decline in fertility rates and the continuing improvement in survival to older ages."
Why this source?
  • Explains that population ageing is driven by declining fertility, supporting the link between low birth rates and ageing populations (context applicable to Japan).
  • Places Japan’s situation within a broader, documented demographic phenomenon described by a high-quality source (WPP).

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
Strength: 5/5
β€œThere are probably three main ways of meeting world population problems. 1. Cut down the rate of population increase. This is done through family planning or birth control, which is now widely practised throughout the world. If the number of births can be cut down, the rate of increase of population will be slowed down and although population will continue to grow, increases in food production may be able to keep pace with the demand. Japan is a fine example of a country where this has happened. Her annual birth rate has been cut down from 22 per thousand in 1947 to only L3 per thousand today.”
Why relevant

Explicit example: states Japan reduced its annual birth rate from 22 per thousand (1947) to 13 per thousand 'today', showing a marked decline in fertility.

How to extend

A student could combine this historical birth‑rate decline with external facts (current media reports, demographic time series) to check whether low birth rates persist and link to ageing/decline.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Strength: 4/5
β€œThe world is experiencing an ever increasing rise in human numbers. The rise differs greatly from country to country, e.g. 2.8 per cent per year in Malaysia, and 1.3 per cent in Japan. It has been found that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts. Can you attempt to explain why? Countries. 29,A A slum in the overcrowded Peruvian port of Callao. The need for housing and employment are two problems posed by population expansion Camera Press With a higher standard of living (Britain, Sweden, the U.S.A., Australia) have lower rates of population growth (i.e. families tend to be smaller) than countries where the standard of living is lower (e.g.”
Why relevant

Gives Japan's population growth rate (1.3%) and presents the general pattern that industrial countries tend to have lower birth rates than agrarian ones.

How to extend

Use the rule that industrialisation correlates with low birth rates plus knowledge that Japan is highly industrialised to infer a likelihood of low fertility/slow growth, then verify with contemporary data.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Ouestions and Exercises > p. 300
Strength: 4/5
β€œChoose one actual area in the world where each of the above fac- torts plays a vital role in population distribution and explain its effects. β€’ Explain any three of the following statements; 4. β€’ (a) Rural districts often record a higher birth rate than urban districts. β€’ (b) Industrial countries normally maintain a higher standard of living. β€’ (c) At the present rate of world population increase, the pessimistic outlook of Malthus will be justified. β€’ (d) Migration alone will not solve the population problems of the world. Either: Explain how Japan was able to almost halve her birth rate within two decades (from 2 Why is north-western Europe one of the most densely populated parts of the world?”
Why relevant

Contains an explicit classroom prompt: 'Explain how Japan was able to almost halve her birth rate within two decades', implying Japan is a known case of rapid fertility decline.

How to extend

Treat Japan as a cited case study of fertility fall; a student could look up timing and demographic consequences (ageing, lower replacement) on a world map/time series to evaluate current media claims.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 4/5
β€œβ€’ Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small Γ— family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Defines causes of low birth rate (industrialisation, female labour participation, education) β€” general mechanisms that explain why countries like Japan might have low fertility.

How to extend

If one verifies that these conditions apply to Japan (industrial economy, high female workforce participation, education levels), they can reasonably infer low birth rates and pursue evidence of ageing/decline.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
Strength: 3/5
β€œMany people including women go to work in factories and offices. Since the survival of children is ensured, people tend to have small families. Moreover, in order to maintain a better standard of living, small families are preferred. Over the years, all these factors have led to reduction in birth rates. Reduction in both birth rate and death rate results in low natural growth rate. Thus, a gradual and smooth population growth is established. When population increases in a country, it has to be provided with a corresponding increase in basic amenities, such as food, clothing, shelter, educational institutions, hospitals, drinking water, transport, and electricity.”
Why relevant

Explains the demographic pattern: survival of children, urban/industrial employment and preference for smaller families lead to reduced birth rates and low natural growth.

How to extend

Combine this general pattern with knowledge that Japan is urbanised and has high child survival to suspect low natural growth and then check for ageing/decline indicators.

Statement 3
Nigeria is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Weak / unclear Fairness: Borderline / guessy
Indirect textbook clues
Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
Strength: 5/5
β€œThis stage is characterised by low death rate and low birth rate. Consequently, population grows at a diminishing rate.”
Why relevant

Defines a demographic stage characterised by both low birth and low death rates leading to slow or diminishing population growth.

How to extend

A student could check whether Nigeria's vital rates place it in this stage (compare Nigeria's birth/death rates to the stage description) to judge plausibility of claims about low birth / ageing.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 576
Strength: 5/5
β€œβ€’ Three Stages of Demographic Transition High Birth and High Death Rate (stage I) High \bulletBirth and Low Death Rate (stage II) - Low Birth and Low Death Rate (stage III) -India is in later phase of stage II”
Why relevant

Summarises the three stages of demographic transition including 'low birth and low death rate (stage III)' and notes national placement in stages matters.

How to extend

A student can use Nigeria's demographic indicators to see which transition stage it fits, helping assess if claims of ageing/decline are consistent.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 4/5
β€œβ€’ Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small Γ— family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Lists common drivers of low birth rates (industrialisation, female labour participation, education) as general causal factors.

How to extend

Compare Nigeria's levels of industrialisation, female labour force participation and education to these drivers to infer whether falling fertility is likely.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
Strength: 4/5
β€œAt present, India is in a state of rapid fertility transition with the pace of decline having accelerated in recent years. India's population is in the late expanding stage in which birth rate is falling, death rate is also falling and population continues to grow. This is because of: (i) family planning, (ii) lower infant mortality, (iii) changing status of women and (iv) increase in standard of living. The pace of decline varies from state to state and experiences of Andhra Pradesh, Nagaland, Goa, Tamil Nadu, W. Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Odisha, and Kerala indicate that the Crude Birth Rate (CBR) can go much below the replacement level of fertility.”
Why relevant

Gives examples of subnational regions where crude birth rate can fall below replacement, showing that fertility decline can be geographically uneven.

How to extend

A student could look for regional variation within Nigeria (states/regions) to see if media reports might stem from localized low-fertility areas rather than national decline.

CONTEMPORARY INDIA-I ,Geography, Class IX . NCERT(Revised ed 2025) > Chapter 6: Population > Population Growth > p. 51
Strength: 4/5
β€œWhy? Since 1981, however, the rate of growth started declining gradually. During this period, birth rates declined rapidly. Still 182 million people were added to the total population in the 1990s alone (an annual addition larger than ever before). It is essential to realise that India has a very large population. When a low annual rate is applied to a very large population, it yields a large absolute increase. When more than a billion people increase even at a lower rate, the total number being added becomes very large. India's annual increase in population is large enough to neutralise efforts to conserve the resource endowment and environment.”
Why relevant

Explains that even when birth rates decline, a large base population can produce large absolute increases β€” useful for distinguishing low rate vs declining total population.

How to extend

Use Nigeria's population size plus current growth rate to determine whether a lower fertility rate would still yield population growth (contrasting 'low rate' with 'declining population').

Statement 4
South Korea is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 4/5
"In Asia, South Korea and China are also aging rapidly; South Korea has one of the lowest fertility rates,"
Why this source?
  • Directly names South Korea as aging rapidly and links it to very low fertility.
  • Explicitly states South Korea has one of the lowest fertility rates, which corresponds to 'low birth rates' and 'ageing population' in the statement.
Web source
Presence: 3/5
"**Lower fertility, an ageing population** The world’s overall fertility rates are dropping, **with women having one child fewer on average than they did around 1990**."
Why this source?
  • Identifies 'Lower fertility, an ageing population' as a major, widely reported demographic trend.
  • States global fertility rates are falling, supporting why countries (like South Korea) are discussed for low birth rates and ageing.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
Strength: 4/5
β€œThis stage is characterised by low death rate and low birth rate. Consequently, population grows at a diminishing rate.”
Why relevant

Defines a demographic stage characterised by low birth and low death rates leading to diminishing population growth β€” a general pattern for mature societies.

How to extend

A student could check whether South Korea is a mature/industrial society (via basic country facts) and therefore likely to fit this stage, which would make media reports about low birth/ageing plausible.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 5/5
β€œβ€’ Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small Γ— family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Lists drivers of low birth rate (industrial expansion, women’s participation, education) that commonly accompany development.

How to extend

Compare South Korea’s level of industrialization, female labour participation, and education (basic external facts) to see if these drivers apply and hence could explain low fertility media coverage.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Strength: 5/5
β€œThe world is experiencing an ever increasing rise in human numbers. The rise differs greatly from country to country, e.g. 2.8 per cent per year in Malaysia, and 1.3 per cent in Japan. It has been found that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts. Can you attempt to explain why? Countries. 29,A A slum in the overcrowded Peruvian port of Callao. The need for housing and employment are two problems posed by population expansion Camera Press With a higher standard of living (Britain, Sweden, the U.S.A., Australia) have lower rates of population growth (i.e. families tend to be smaller) than countries where the standard of living is lower (e.g.”
Why relevant

States that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural/rural areas β€” a broad rule linking development to low fertility.

How to extend

Using a world map or standard classification (South Korea is an industrialised, highly urbanised country), a student could infer this rule makes low birth-rate reporting more likely.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
Strength: 4/5
β€œThere are probably three main ways of meeting world population problems. 1. Cut down the rate of population increase. This is done through family planning or birth control, which is now widely practised throughout the world. If the number of births can be cut down, the rate of increase of population will be slowed down and although population will continue to grow, increases in food production may be able to keep pace with the demand. Japan is a fine example of a country where this has happened. Her annual birth rate has been cut down from 22 per thousand in 1947 to only L3 per thousand today.”
Why relevant

Gives Japan as an explicit example where birth rate fell dramatically with development, showing a regional precedent of very low fertility in East Asia.

How to extend

A student could note that Japan and South Korea are both East Asian industrialised countries; given Japan’s experience, one might reasonably investigate whether South Korea shows similar media focus.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
Strength: 3/5
β€œAt present, India is in a state of rapid fertility transition with the pace of decline having accelerated in recent years. India's population is in the late expanding stage in which birth rate is falling, death rate is also falling and population continues to grow. This is because of: (i) family planning, (ii) lower infant mortality, (iii) changing status of women and (iv) increase in standard of living. The pace of decline varies from state to state and experiences of Andhra Pradesh, Nagaland, Goa, Tamil Nadu, W. Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Odisha, and Kerala indicate that the Crude Birth Rate (CBR) can go much below the replacement level of fertility.”
Why relevant

Notes that fertility can fall below replacement level in some regions/states, illustrating that subnational or national declines to very low birth rates are documented phenomena.

How to extend

A student could treat South Korea as a whole (like these examples) and check basic demographic indicators to see if its fertility is below replacement, which would support the plausibility of media emphasis.

Statement 5
South Africa is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 4/5
"In Africa, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa are experiencing notable"
Why this source?
  • Directly names South Africa among African countries experiencing notable demographic change (ageing).
  • Context in the passage links ageing to low birth rates and higher life expectancy, tying South Africa to the specific issues in the statement.
Web source
Presence: 3/5
"**Lower fertility, an ageing population**"
Why this source?
  • From the UN World Population Prospects summary that highlights 'Lower fertility' and 'an ageing population' as prominent global trends.
  • Supports the part of the statement about low birth rates and ageing populations being topics covered in media and reports.
Web source
Presence: 3/5
"Population ageing is a global phenomenon driven by the decline in fertility rates and the continuing improvement in survival to older ages."
Why this source?
  • Explains that population ageing is driven by declining fertility rates, linking low birth rates to ageing populations.
  • Provides general authoritative context that supports identifying countries (including those in Africa) as ageing due to lower fertility.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
Strength: 5/5
β€œThis stage is characterised by low death rate and low birth rate. Consequently, population grows at a diminishing rate.”
Why relevant

Defines Stage III of demographic transition as 'low death rate and low birth rate' leading to diminishing population growth β€” a general pattern linking development to low birth rates.

How to extend

A student could check whether South Africa's demographic indicators (birth and death rates, stage classification from demography sources) match Stage III to assess plausibility of the claim.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 4/5
β€œβ€’ Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small Γ— family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Lists factors (industrial expansion, women's labour participation, education) that produce low birth rates β€” explains mechanisms behind fertility decline.

How to extend

Compare South Africa's levels of industrialization, female labour force participation and education to infer whether these drivers could produce low birth rates there.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
Strength: 4/5
β€œMany people including women go to work in factories and offices. Since the survival of children is ensured, people tend to have small families. Moreover, in order to maintain a better standard of living, small families are preferred. Over the years, all these factors have led to reduction in birth rates. Reduction in both birth rate and death rate results in low natural growth rate. Thus, a gradual and smooth population growth is established. When population increases in a country, it has to be provided with a corresponding increase in basic amenities, such as food, clothing, shelter, educational institutions, hospitals, drinking water, transport, and electricity.”
Why relevant

States that industrial/urban societies with higher living standards tend to have smaller families and reduced birth rates, producing low natural growth β€” a broad rule linking socio-economic conditions to ageing/low fertility.

How to extend

Using a world map or socioeconomic data, locate South Africa's urbanization and development status to judge whether this rule likely applies.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Strength: 4/5
β€œThe world is experiencing an ever increasing rise in human numbers. The rise differs greatly from country to country, e.g. 2.8 per cent per year in Malaysia, and 1.3 per cent in Japan. It has been found that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts. Can you attempt to explain why? Countries. 29,A A slum in the overcrowded Peruvian port of Callao. The need for housing and employment are two problems posed by population expansion Camera Press With a higher standard of living (Britain, Sweden, the U.S.A., Australia) have lower rates of population growth (i.e. families tend to be smaller) than countries where the standard of living is lower (e.g.”
Why relevant

Gives an explicit example (Japan) with low population growth and notes industrial countries often have lower birth rates β€” an empirical precedent of developed-country ageing/decline.

How to extend

A student could contrast South Africa with the Japan example (e.g., economic classification, demographic trajectory) to see if similar media attention would be expected.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
Strength: 3/5
β€œAt present, India is in a state of rapid fertility transition with the pace of decline having accelerated in recent years. India's population is in the late expanding stage in which birth rate is falling, death rate is also falling and population continues to grow. This is because of: (i) family planning, (ii) lower infant mortality, (iii) changing status of women and (iv) increase in standard of living. The pace of decline varies from state to state and experiences of Andhra Pradesh, Nagaland, Goa, Tamil Nadu, W. Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Odisha, and Kerala indicate that the Crude Birth Rate (CBR) can go much below the replacement level of fertility.”
Why relevant

Notes that subnational regions (Indian states) can fall below replacement fertility, showing that low/declining fertility can occur unevenly and at varied development levels.

How to extend

Check whether South Africa has regional variation in fertility or provinces with below-replacement rates to assess potential for ageing/decline narratives in media.

Pattern takeaway: UPSC loves 'Superlatives' and 'Extremes' in Demography. They won't ask about a middle-ground country like Brazil. They ask about the crisis points: Extreme Ageing (Japan) or Extreme Growth (Nigeria).
How you should have studied
  1. [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. The inclusion of Nigeria (the global face of population explosion) makes elimination trivial. Source: General Awareness / Newspaper Headlines.
  2. [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: The Demographic Transition Model (DTM). The question specifically asks for countries in 'Stage 5' (Declining/Ageing).
  3. [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the Extremes: Lowest TFR (South Korea ~0.72, Taiwan, Singapore). Highest TFR (Niger ~6.7, Somalia, Chad). Oldest Populations (Japan, Italy, Monaco). Youngest Populations (Niger, Uganda). Key Term: 'Replacement Level Fertility' (2.1).
  4. [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Do not memorize data for 195 countries. Group them by region: East Asia & Southern Europe = Shrinking. Sub-Saharan Africa = Booming. South Asia = Stabilizing. Apply these regional templates to options.
Concept hooks from this question
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S1
πŸ‘‰ Demographic transition stages (Stage III: low birth & low death)
πŸ’‘ The insight

Demographic transition includes a stage where both birth and death rates are low, producing diminishing population growth.

High-yield for UPSC because many questions ask about stages of population transition and their policy implications; links demography with development, health and planning topics. Mastery helps answer questions on population stabilization, ageing, and social services demand.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 576
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
πŸ”— Anchor: "Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S1
πŸ‘‰ Components of population change: birth rate, death rate, migration
πŸ’‘ The insight

Population change is determined by birth rates, death rates and migration, with migration explicitly named as the third component.

Core concept for answering population-related mains and prelims questions; connects to topics like urbanisation, regional demographics, and policy measures such as family planning and migration management. Useful for constructing balanced answers on demographic trends.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • CONTEMPORARY INDIA-I ,Geography, Class IX . NCERT(Revised ed 2025) > Chapter 6: Population > Processes of Population Change/Growth > p. 53
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
πŸ”— Anchor: "Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S1
πŸ‘‰ Socioeconomic drivers of falling fertility (education, female labour, urbanisation)
πŸ’‘ The insight

Expansion of industry, female labour participation and improvements in education and living standards lead to lower birth rates and smaller family norms.

Important for essays and GS answers linking development to demographic change; explains causes of ageing and fertility decline and supports policy prescriptions (education, female empowerment, health). Helps synthesize demographic and development questions.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
  • Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
  • Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
πŸ”— Anchor: "Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S2
πŸ‘‰ Low birth rates in industrialized countries
πŸ’‘ The insight

Industrialized nations tend to record lower birth rates, a pattern exemplified by Japan's reduced fertility and low population growth.

High-yield for UPSC: explains why developed economies face demographic slowdown and links to topics like ageing populations, pensions, and labour markets. Useful for questions on demographic change, development, and policy responses such as family planning and social security.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
  • Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
πŸ”— Anchor: "Japan is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S2
πŸ‘‰ Demographic transition stages (low birth & death rates)
πŸ’‘ The insight

The stage characterized by low death rates and low birth rates explains sustained low natural population growth relevant to Japan's demographic profile.

Important for UPSC because it provides a framework to compare countries' population dynamics, informs policy implications (ageing, dependency ratio), and appears frequently in questions on population policy and development.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
πŸ”— Anchor: "Japan is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S2
πŸ‘‰ Drivers of fertility decline (family planning, urbanization, female labour participation)
πŸ’‘ The insight

Family planning, urbanization, and increased female participation are cited mechanisms that reduce birth rates and help explain Japan's fertility fall.

Practically useful: links demographic outcomes to socio-economic causes, enabling candidates to analyse policy levers (education, employment, health) in essay and mains answers on population control and social change.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
  • Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
πŸ”— Anchor: "Japan is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popula..."
πŸ“Œ Adjacent topic to master
S3
πŸ‘‰ Demographic transition stages (I–III)
πŸ’‘ The insight

Understanding stages explains how societies move from high birth/death rates to low birth/death rates, which underpins claims about low fertility or ageing populations.

High-yield for UPSC because questions probe population dynamics, demographic dividend, and policy responses. Connects to economic development, health, and social policy topics and enables comparative analysis of countries' population trajectories.

πŸ“š Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 576
  • Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
πŸ”— Anchor: "Nigeria is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing popu..."
πŸŒ‘ The Hidden Trap

India's specific demographic status: TFR is now 2.0 (below replacement of 2.1), yet population is growing due to 'Population Momentum'. A future statement will trap you by saying 'India's population is declining because TFR is below replacement' (False).

⚑ Elimination Cheat Code

The 'Nigeria Filter'. Nigeria is projected to become the 3rd most populous country by 2050. It is the antithesis of 'declining population'. Eliminate any option with Nigeria (3). This removes [B] and [D]. Between [A] and [C], Italy (1) is the classic European example of an empty cradle. Mark [A].

πŸ”— Mains Connection

Link to GS-3 Economy: 'Silver Economy' and 'Care Economy'. Ageing nations (Japan/Italy) need automation (Robotics) and immigration, while Young nations (India/Nigeria) need job creation to reap the 'Demographic Dividend'.

βœ“ Thank you! We'll review this.

SIMILAR QUESTIONS

IAS Β· 2002 Β· Q97 Relevance score: 2.32

Consider the following countries : 1. Brazil 2. Indonesia 3. Japan 4. Russia What is the descending order of the size of the following countries population wise ?

IAS Β· 2010 Β· Q40 Relevance score: 1.56

Consider the following countries : 1. Brazil 2. Mexico 3. South Africa According to UNCTAD, which of the above is/are categorized as 'Emerging Economies'?

IAS Β· 2002 Β· Q98 Relevance score: 0.06

Consider the following countries : 1. Anglo 2. Colombia 3. Congo 4. Sudan Which of these countries has/have been suffering from civil war?

IAS Β· 2025 Β· Q76 Relevance score: -0.50

Consider the following countries : I. United Kingdom II. Denmark III. New Zealand IV. Australia V. Brazil How many of the above countries have more than four time zones?

IAS Β· 2018 Β· Q90 Relevance score: -0.76

Consider the following pairs : Regions sometimes mentioned in news Country 1. Catalonia - Spain 2. Crimea - Hungary 3. Mindanao - Philippines 4. Oromia - Nigeria Which of the pairs given above are correctly matched ?