Question map
Consider the following countries : 1. Italy 2. Japan 3. Nigeria 4. South Korea 5. South Africa Which of the above countries are frequently mentioned in the media for their low birth rates, or ageing population or declining population ?
Explanation
The correct answer is option A (Italy, Japan, and South Korea).
Italy has around 23% of its population over 65, caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy[1], making it one of the most aged societies frequently discussed in demographic contexts. Japan leads the way as the most aged society, with nearly 30% of its population over 65[2], and is prominently featured in discussions about aging populations. In Asia, South Korea is also aging rapidly and has one of the lowest fertility rates[3], making it a focal point in media coverage of demographic decline.
In contrast, Nigeria and South Africa are African nations that are not typically associated with low birth rates or aging populations. Industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts[4], and African countries generally have younger populations with higher fertility rates compared to developed nations in Europe and East Asia. Therefore, countries 1, 2, and 4 (Italy, Japan, and South Korea) are the ones frequently mentioned for these demographic challenges.
Sources- [1] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
- [2] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
- [3] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
- [4] Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
Full viewThis is a classic 'General Awareness' question disguised as Geography. It tests the fundamental divide between the 'Global North' (Demographic Winter) and the 'Global South' (Population Boom). If you know Nigeria is the world's fastest-growing large nation, this is a 10-second kill.
This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.
- Statement 1: Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
- Statement 2: Japan is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
- Statement 3: Nigeria is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
- Statement 4: South Korea is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
- Statement 5: South Africa is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
- Explicitly names Italy as one of the countries with a high share of older people.
- Directly links Italyβs age structure to low birth rates and high life expectancy with a numeric share.
- States the global pattern of 'Lower fertility, an ageing population', supporting the broader context behind media attention to low birth rates and ageing.
- Provides a clear statement that overall fertility rates are dropping, which is the phenomenon cited for countries like Italy.
States that industrial (higher-standard-of-living) countries usually have lower birth rates and gives Japan as an example of low growth.
A student could note that Italy is an industrial/highβincome European country like Japan and therefore might exhibit similar low birth/slow growth patterns to investigate media references.
Defines a demographic stage (stage III) characterised by low death rate and low birth rate leading to diminishing population growth.
If Italy is placed in stage III of the demographic transition (as other developed countries are), one would expect media coverage about low/declining population to follow β worth checking Italian demographic data and press.
Lists causes of low birth rate (industrialisation, womenβs participation, improved education) that are typical of developed economies.
A student can compare whether these socioβeconomic factors apply to Italy (industrialised economy, female labour force participation, education levels) to assess plausibility of media focus on low births/ageing.
Explains that female participation in work and higher living standards reduce birth rates, producing low natural growth.
Knowing Italy has relatively high urbanisation and female workforce participation by OECD standards (basic outside fact), a student could infer these mechanisms plausibly lead to media discussion of ageing/decline and then check reports.
Notes that some regions/countries can reach fertility below replacement level (examples include several Indian states), showing that low birth rates and eventual population decline are documented outcomes of transition.
A student can apply the same logic to a developed nation: if Italyβs crude birth rate is below replacement (external fact to check), media mention of decline/ageing becomes plausible.
- Explicitly identifies Japan as the most aged society, directly linking it to the claim about an ageing population.
- Gives a concrete measure (nearly 30% over 65) and attributes the age structure to low birth rates and high life expectancy.
- Explains that population ageing is driven by declining fertility, supporting the link between low birth rates and ageing populations (context applicable to Japan).
- Places Japanβs situation within a broader, documented demographic phenomenon described by a high-quality source (WPP).
Explicit example: states Japan reduced its annual birth rate from 22 per thousand (1947) to 13 per thousand 'today', showing a marked decline in fertility.
A student could combine this historical birthβrate decline with external facts (current media reports, demographic time series) to check whether low birth rates persist and link to ageing/decline.
Gives Japan's population growth rate (1.3%) and presents the general pattern that industrial countries tend to have lower birth rates than agrarian ones.
Use the rule that industrialisation correlates with low birth rates plus knowledge that Japan is highly industrialised to infer a likelihood of low fertility/slow growth, then verify with contemporary data.
Contains an explicit classroom prompt: 'Explain how Japan was able to almost halve her birth rate within two decades', implying Japan is a known case of rapid fertility decline.
Treat Japan as a cited case study of fertility fall; a student could look up timing and demographic consequences (ageing, lower replacement) on a world map/time series to evaluate current media claims.
Defines causes of low birth rate (industrialisation, female labour participation, education) β general mechanisms that explain why countries like Japan might have low fertility.
If one verifies that these conditions apply to Japan (industrial economy, high female workforce participation, education levels), they can reasonably infer low birth rates and pursue evidence of ageing/decline.
Explains the demographic pattern: survival of children, urban/industrial employment and preference for smaller families lead to reduced birth rates and low natural growth.
Combine this general pattern with knowledge that Japan is urbanised and has high child survival to suspect low natural growth and then check for ageing/decline indicators.
Defines a demographic stage characterised by both low birth and low death rates leading to slow or diminishing population growth.
A student could check whether Nigeria's vital rates place it in this stage (compare Nigeria's birth/death rates to the stage description) to judge plausibility of claims about low birth / ageing.
Summarises the three stages of demographic transition including 'low birth and low death rate (stage III)' and notes national placement in stages matters.
A student can use Nigeria's demographic indicators to see which transition stage it fits, helping assess if claims of ageing/decline are consistent.
Lists common drivers of low birth rates (industrialisation, female labour participation, education) as general causal factors.
Compare Nigeria's levels of industrialisation, female labour force participation and education to these drivers to infer whether falling fertility is likely.
Gives examples of subnational regions where crude birth rate can fall below replacement, showing that fertility decline can be geographically uneven.
A student could look for regional variation within Nigeria (states/regions) to see if media reports might stem from localized low-fertility areas rather than national decline.
Explains that even when birth rates decline, a large base population can produce large absolute increases β useful for distinguishing low rate vs declining total population.
Use Nigeria's population size plus current growth rate to determine whether a lower fertility rate would still yield population growth (contrasting 'low rate' with 'declining population').
- Directly names South Korea as aging rapidly and links it to very low fertility.
- Explicitly states South Korea has one of the lowest fertility rates, which corresponds to 'low birth rates' and 'ageing population' in the statement.
- Identifies 'Lower fertility, an ageing population' as a major, widely reported demographic trend.
- States global fertility rates are falling, supporting why countries (like South Korea) are discussed for low birth rates and ageing.
Defines a demographic stage characterised by low birth and low death rates leading to diminishing population growth β a general pattern for mature societies.
A student could check whether South Korea is a mature/industrial society (via basic country facts) and therefore likely to fit this stage, which would make media reports about low birth/ageing plausible.
Lists drivers of low birth rate (industrial expansion, womenβs participation, education) that commonly accompany development.
Compare South Koreaβs level of industrialization, female labour participation, and education (basic external facts) to see if these drivers apply and hence could explain low fertility media coverage.
States that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural/rural areas β a broad rule linking development to low fertility.
Using a world map or standard classification (South Korea is an industrialised, highly urbanised country), a student could infer this rule makes low birth-rate reporting more likely.
Gives Japan as an explicit example where birth rate fell dramatically with development, showing a regional precedent of very low fertility in East Asia.
A student could note that Japan and South Korea are both East Asian industrialised countries; given Japanβs experience, one might reasonably investigate whether South Korea shows similar media focus.
Notes that fertility can fall below replacement level in some regions/states, illustrating that subnational or national declines to very low birth rates are documented phenomena.
A student could treat South Korea as a whole (like these examples) and check basic demographic indicators to see if its fertility is below replacement, which would support the plausibility of media emphasis.
- Directly names South Africa among African countries experiencing notable demographic change (ageing).
- Context in the passage links ageing to low birth rates and higher life expectancy, tying South Africa to the specific issues in the statement.
- From the UN World Population Prospects summary that highlights 'Lower fertility' and 'an ageing population' as prominent global trends.
- Supports the part of the statement about low birth rates and ageing populations being topics covered in media and reports.
- Explains that population ageing is driven by declining fertility rates, linking low birth rates to ageing populations.
- Provides general authoritative context that supports identifying countries (including those in Africa) as ageing due to lower fertility.
Defines Stage III of demographic transition as 'low death rate and low birth rate' leading to diminishing population growth β a general pattern linking development to low birth rates.
A student could check whether South Africa's demographic indicators (birth and death rates, stage classification from demography sources) match Stage III to assess plausibility of the claim.
Lists factors (industrial expansion, women's labour participation, education) that produce low birth rates β explains mechanisms behind fertility decline.
Compare South Africa's levels of industrialization, female labour force participation and education to infer whether these drivers could produce low birth rates there.
States that industrial/urban societies with higher living standards tend to have smaller families and reduced birth rates, producing low natural growth β a broad rule linking socio-economic conditions to ageing/low fertility.
Using a world map or socioeconomic data, locate South Africa's urbanization and development status to judge whether this rule likely applies.
Gives an explicit example (Japan) with low population growth and notes industrial countries often have lower birth rates β an empirical precedent of developed-country ageing/decline.
A student could contrast South Africa with the Japan example (e.g., economic classification, demographic trajectory) to see if similar media attention would be expected.
Notes that subnational regions (Indian states) can fall below replacement fertility, showing that low/declining fertility can occur unevenly and at varied development levels.
Check whether South Africa has regional variation in fertility or provinces with below-replacement rates to assess potential for ageing/decline narratives in media.
- [THE VERDICT]: Sitter. The inclusion of Nigeria (the global face of population explosion) makes elimination trivial. Source: General Awareness / Newspaper Headlines.
- [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: The Demographic Transition Model (DTM). The question specifically asks for countries in 'Stage 5' (Declining/Ageing).
- [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: Memorize the Extremes: Lowest TFR (South Korea ~0.72, Taiwan, Singapore). Highest TFR (Niger ~6.7, Somalia, Chad). Oldest Populations (Japan, Italy, Monaco). Youngest Populations (Niger, Uganda). Key Term: 'Replacement Level Fertility' (2.1).
- [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Do not memorize data for 195 countries. Group them by region: East Asia & Southern Europe = Shrinking. Sub-Saharan Africa = Booming. South Asia = Stabilizing. Apply these regional templates to options.
Demographic transition includes a stage where both birth and death rates are low, producing diminishing population growth.
High-yield for UPSC because many questions ask about stages of population transition and their policy implications; links demography with development, health and planning topics. Mastery helps answer questions on population stabilization, ageing, and social services demand.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 576
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Population change is determined by birth rates, death rates and migration, with migration explicitly named as the third component.
Core concept for answering population-related mains and prelims questions; connects to topics like urbanisation, regional demographics, and policy measures such as family planning and migration management. Useful for constructing balanced answers on demographic trends.
- CONTEMPORARY INDIA-I ,Geography, Class IX . NCERT(Revised ed 2025) > Chapter 6: Population > Processes of Population Change/Growth > p. 53
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Expansion of industry, female labour participation and improvements in education and living standards lead to lower birth rates and smaller family norms.
Important for essays and GS answers linking development to demographic change; explains causes of ageing and fertility decline and supports policy prescriptions (education, female empowerment, health). Helps synthesize demographic and development questions.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
- Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Industrialized nations tend to record lower birth rates, a pattern exemplified by Japan's reduced fertility and low population growth.
High-yield for UPSC: explains why developed economies face demographic slowdown and links to topics like ageing populations, pensions, and labour markets. Useful for questions on demographic change, development, and policy responses such as family planning and social security.
- Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
- Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
The stage characterized by low death rates and low birth rates explains sustained low natural population growth relevant to Japan's demographic profile.
Important for UPSC because it provides a framework to compare countries' population dynamics, informs policy implications (ageing, dependency ratio), and appears frequently in questions on population policy and development.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Family planning, urbanization, and increased female participation are cited mechanisms that reduce birth rates and help explain Japan's fertility fall.
Practically useful: links demographic outcomes to socio-economic causes, enabling candidates to analyse policy levers (education, employment, health) in essay and mains answers on population control and social change.
- Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Ways of Relieving World Population Problems > p. 299
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
Understanding stages explains how societies move from high birth/death rates to low birth/death rates, which underpins claims about low fertility or ageing populations.
High-yield for UPSC because questions probe population dynamics, demographic dividend, and policy responses. Connects to economic development, health, and social policy topics and enables comparative analysis of countries' population trajectories.
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
- Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > CHAPTER SUMMARY > p. 576
- Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
India's specific demographic status: TFR is now 2.0 (below replacement of 2.1), yet population is growing due to 'Population Momentum'. A future statement will trap you by saying 'India's population is declining because TFR is below replacement' (False).
The 'Nigeria Filter'. Nigeria is projected to become the 3rd most populous country by 2050. It is the antithesis of 'declining population'. Eliminate any option with Nigeria (3). This removes [B] and [D]. Between [A] and [C], Italy (1) is the classic European example of an empty cradle. Mark [A].
Link to GS-3 Economy: 'Silver Economy' and 'Care Economy'. Ageing nations (Japan/Italy) need automation (Robotics) and immigration, while Young nations (India/Nigeria) need job creation to reap the 'Demographic Dividend'.