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Q67 (IAS/2024) Geography › World Human & Economic Geography › World population patterns Official Key

Consider the following countries : 1. Italy 2. Japan 3. Nigeria 4. South Korea 5. South Africa Which of the above countries are frequently mentioned in the media for their low birth rates, or ageing population or declining population ?

Result
Your answer:  ·  Correct: A
Explanation

The correct answer is option A (Italy, Japan, and South Korea).

Italy has around 23% of its population over 65, caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy[1], making it one of the most aged societies frequently discussed in demographic contexts. Japan leads the way as the most aged society, with nearly 30% of its population over 65[2], and is prominently featured in discussions about aging populations. In Asia, South Korea is also aging rapidly and has one of the lowest fertility rates[3], making it a focal point in media coverage of demographic decline.

In contrast, Nigeria and South Africa are African nations that are not typically associated with low birth rates or aging populations. Industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts[4], and African countries generally have younger populations with higher fertility rates compared to developed nations in Europe and East Asia. Therefore, countries 1, 2, and 4 (Italy, Japan, and South Korea) are the ones frequently mentioned for these demographic challenges.

Sources
  1. [1] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  2. [2] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  3. [3] https://www.helpage.org/news/population-ageing-navigating-the-demographic-shift/
  4. [4] Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
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Q. Consider the following countries : 1. Italy 2. Japan 3. Nigeria 4. South Korea 5. South Africa Which of the above countries are fre…
At a glance
Origin: Mostly Current Affairs Fairness: Low / Borderline fairness Books / CA: 0/10 · 8/10
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Statement 1
Italy is frequently mentioned in the media for low birth rates, an ageing population, or a declining population.
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 5/5
"Germany and Italy follow with around 21% and 23%, respectively, caused by low birth rates and high life expectancy."
Why this source?
  • Explicitly names Italy as one of the countries with a high share of older people.
  • Directly links Italy’s age structure to low birth rates and high life expectancy with a numeric share.
Web source
Presence: 3/5
"**Lower fertility, an ageing population** ----------------------------------------- The world’s overall fertility rates are dropping, **with women having one child fewer on average than they did around 1990**."
Why this source?
  • States the global pattern of 'Lower fertility, an ageing population', supporting the broader context behind media attention to low birth rates and ageing.
  • Provides a clear statement that overall fertility rates are dropping, which is the phenomenon cited for countries like Italy.

Certificate Physical and Human Geography , GC Leong (Oxford University press 3rd ed.) > Chapter 29: World Population > Some Basic Population Problems > p. 298
Strength: 5/5
“The world is experiencing an ever increasing rise in human numbers. The rise differs greatly from country to country, e.g. 2.8 per cent per year in Malaysia, and 1.3 per cent in Japan. It has been found that industrial countries and urban districts usually have lower birth rates than agricultural nations and rural districts. Can you attempt to explain why? Countries. 29,A A slum in the overcrowded Peruvian port of Callao. The need for housing and employment are two problems posed by population expansion Camera Press With a higher standard of living (Britain, Sweden, the U.S.A., Australia) have lower rates of population growth (i.e. families tend to be smaller) than countries where the standard of living is lower (e.g.”
Why relevant

States that industrial (higher-standard-of-living) countries usually have lower birth rates and gives Japan as an example of low growth.

How to extend

A student could note that Italy is an industrial/high‑income European country like Japan and therefore might exhibit similar low birth/slow growth patterns to investigate media references.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > Stage III > p. 559
Strength: 4/5
“This stage is characterised by low death rate and low birth rate. Consequently, population grows at a diminishing rate.”
Why relevant

Defines a demographic stage (stage III) characterised by low death rate and low birth rate leading to diminishing population growth.

How to extend

If Italy is placed in stage III of the demographic transition (as other developed countries are), one would expect media coverage about low/declining population to follow — worth checking Italian demographic data and press.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 19: Population and Demographic Dividend > 19.4 Indian Economy > p. 560
Strength: 4/5
“• Low Death Rate Expansion of medical facilities, availability of basic requirements, improvement in the living standards, expansion of education, etc. are some reasons for lower rate of mortality. Low Birth Rate Due to the expansion of industries, people are inclined towards small × family norms. Also, participation of women in economic activities improves their status, and improvement in education, etc. leads to low birth rate. The following graph shows the relation between the stages and growth in population:”
Why relevant

Lists causes of low birth rate (industrialisation, women’s participation, improved education) that are typical of developed economies.

How to extend

A student can compare whether these socio‑economic factors apply to Italy (industrialised economy, female labour force participation, education levels) to assess plausibility of media focus on low births/ageing.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 17: Contemporary Issues > RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT > p. 74
Strength: 3/5
“Many people including women go to work in factories and offices. Since the survival of children is ensured, people tend to have small families. Moreover, in order to maintain a better standard of living, small families are preferred. Over the years, all these factors have led to reduction in birth rates. Reduction in both birth rate and death rate results in low natural growth rate. Thus, a gradual and smooth population growth is established. When population increases in a country, it has to be provided with a corresponding increase in basic amenities, such as food, clothing, shelter, educational institutions, hospitals, drinking water, transport, and electricity.”
Why relevant

Explains that female participation in work and higher living standards reduce birth rates, producing low natural growth.

How to extend

Knowing Italy has relatively high urbanisation and female workforce participation by OECD standards (basic outside fact), a student could infer these mechanisms plausibly lead to media discussion of ageing/decline and then check reports.

Geography of India ,Majid Husain, (McGrawHill 9th ed.) > Chapter 13: Cultural Setting > Table 13.7 > p. 70
Strength: 3/5
“At present, India is in a state of rapid fertility transition with the pace of decline having accelerated in recent years. India's population is in the late expanding stage in which birth rate is falling, death rate is also falling and population continues to grow. This is because of: (i) family planning, (ii) lower infant mortality, (iii) changing status of women and (iv) increase in standard of living. The pace of decline varies from state to state and experiences of Andhra Pradesh, Nagaland, Goa, Tamil Nadu, W. Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Odisha, and Kerala indicate that the Crude Birth Rate (CBR) can go much below the replacement level of fertility.”
Why relevant

Notes that some regions/countries can reach fertility below replacement level (examples include several Indian states), showing that low birth rates and eventual population decline are documented outcomes of transition.

How to extend

A student can apply the same logic to a developed nation: if Italy’s crude birth rate is below replacement (external fact to check), media mention of decline/ageing becomes plausible.

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