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Q59 (IAS/2020) Economy › External Sector & Trade › Currency convertibility regimes Official Key

If another global financial crisis happens in the near future, which of the following actions/policies are most likely to give some immunity to India? 1. Not depending on short-term foreign borrowings 2. Opening up to more foreign banks 3. Maintaining full capital account convertibility Select the correct answer using the code given below:

Result
Your answer:  ·  Correct: A
Explanation

The correct answer is Option 1 (1 only). In the context of a global financial crisis, the following reasoning explains why Statement 1 provides immunity while others increase vulnerability:

  • Statement 1 is correct: Short-term foreign borrowings (External Commercial Borrowings) are highly volatile. During a global crisis, foreign lenders often withdraw capital quickly ("flight to safety"), leading to a liquidity crunch and currency depreciation. Reducing dependence on these loans ensures better macro-economic stability.
  • Statement 2 is incorrect: Opening up to more foreign banks increases financial contagion. If parent banks in developed nations face a crisis, their Indian subsidiaries may restrict lending or pull out capital, transmitting the global shock directly into the domestic economy.
  • Statement 3 is incorrect: Full Capital Account Convertibility allows local and foreign investors to move unlimited money in and out of the country. During a crisis, this could trigger massive capital flight, crashing the Rupee and depleting foreign exchange reserves.

Thus, only cautious debt management (Statement 1) offers a protective buffer against external shocks.

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PROVENANCE & STUDY PATTERN
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Don’t just practise – reverse-engineer the question. This panel shows where this PYQ came from (books / web), how the examiner broke it into hidden statements, and which nearby micro-concepts you were supposed to learn from it. Treat it like an autopsy of the question: what might have triggered it, which exact lines in the book matter, and what linked ideas you should carry forward to future questions.
Q. If another global financial crisis happens in the near future, which of the following actions/policies are most likely to give some immun…
At a glance
Origin: Books + Current Affairs Fairness: Low / Borderline fairness Books / CA: 3.3/10 · 6.7/10

This is a classic 'Conceptual Application' question. It doesn't ask for data but tests your grasp of the 'Stability vs. Exposure' trade-off in the External Sector. If you understood why India survived the 1997 and 2008 crises (limited exposure), this was a sitter.

How this question is built

This question can be broken into the following sub-statements. Tap a statement sentence to jump into its detailed analysis.

Statement 1
Is reducing India's dependence on short-term foreign borrowings likely to increase India's resilience to or immunity from a future global financial crisis?
Origin: Direct from books Fairness: Straightforward Book-answerable
From standard books
Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > RESERVE ADEQUACY FEW MONTHS OF IMPORTS RULE VERSUS GUIDOTTI-GREENSPAN RULE > p. 497
Presence: 5/5
“RESERVE ADEQUACY: FEW MONTHS OF IMPORTS RULE VERSUS GUIDOTTI-GREENSPAN RULE • Traditionally, an adequate amount of forex reserve was determined in terms of reserves equivalent for few months of imports. However, with increasing importance of capital account transactions in BOP, this approach is now becoming less relevant.• Short-term external debt among various capital account transactions has gained prominence now under BOP.• Thus, the ratio of short-term debt to forex reserves has emerged as a relevant yardstick to determine reserve adequacy. Component-wise Indian forex reserves - explained in the previous chapter. 110000 India's Forex reserves cover of imports as on June ø 2020 was 14.8 months.”
Why this source?
  • Identifies short-term external debt as a prominent capital-account item and makes the short-term debt / forex reserves ratio a relevant yardstick for reserve adequacy.
  • Implicates that high short-term debt relative to reserves reduces a country's buffer against external shocks, so reducing it would improve resilience.
Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > Limitations > p. 499
Presence: 4/5
“• It exposes the economy to global vulnerabilities. \bullet• There remains a fear of sudden capital flight which may also lead to increase in current account deficit.\bullet Risk of speculative attacks.\bullet No ceiling on external debt may be disastrous.\bullet Zontagion effect, i.e., more chances of transmission of the effect of financial crisis occurring in a particular country to the Indian economy. As per the Tarapore Committee, there are some pre-conditions which need to be fulfilled before going for full convertibility of rupee: • 1. Reduce fiscal deficit to 3.5 per cent of GDP. • 2. Reduce public debt by setting up consolidated sinking fund. • 3.”
Why this source?
  • Specifically links external exposure to global vulnerabilities such as sudden capital flight and contagion (transmission of foreign financial crises).
  • Reducing short-term foreign borrowings would directly lower the risk vectors named (capital flight, speculative attacks, contagion).
Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Govt. of India (Central Govt.) Total Debt/Liabilities = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 > p. 163
Presence: 4/5
“2022, external debt of India was $610.5 Billion (19.2% of GDP). $610.5 billion = 19.2% of GDP "Sovereign Debt" | "Non-Sovereign Debt" • $124.5 billion (3.9% of GDP) | $486 billion (15.3% of GDP) • Sovereign Debt is also called Govt. of India | It includes • (external) Debt • (State Govt. external debt is in the name of |  Commercial Borrowing • GoI only) |  External Commercial Borrowing ECB • plus FII investments in Indian • It includes | corporate bonds FPI/FII investments in G-securities Loans under Bilateral Assistance |  NRI Deposits Loans under Multilateral Assistance • India's external debt can also be classified as 'short-term' (21.6%) and long-term debt.• Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt followed by non-resident deposits.• Currency wise, India's external debt includes: • o US Dollar denominated (55.5%)• o Indian Rupee denominated (30%)• o And then some is SDR, Yen, Euro.”
Why this source?
  • Provides the quantitative context: short-term debt is a significant component of India's external debt (21.6%), so changes in this component materially affect overall external vulnerability.
  • Lists composition and currency shares of external debt, underscoring why short-term and dollar-denominated liabilities matter for crisis exposure.
Statement 2
Is opening India's banking sector to more foreign banks likely to increase India's resilience to or immunity from a future global financial crisis?
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 5/5
"Another factor that could be of relevance for this favourable situation is the relatively smaller presence of foreign banks in the Asian banking sector. This is evident from the fact that the share of banking assets held by foreign banks in these economies generally lies between 0 and 10 percent (Global Development Finance, 2008)."
Why this source?
  • Directly links resilience of emerging market economies to banking-sector characteristics and notes a relatively smaller presence of foreign banks as a relevant factor for favourable resilience.
  • Implies that a larger foreign-bank presence could reduce that protective factor by increasing foreign exposure in the banking sector.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"Claessens, Demirguc-Kunt and Huizinga (1998) report that foreign presence enhances the efficiency of the financial sector. Kim and Wei (1999) find that the volatility of capital flows was increased less by resident than by non-resident investors."
Why this source?
  • Identifies a potential benefit: foreign presence can enhance financial-sector efficiency.
  • Also notes a potential risk: non-resident (foreign) investors are associated with greater volatility of capital flows, which can raise crisis vulnerability.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"Financial crises can have repercussions on growth abroad Financial crisis can also depress economic activity abroad. If banks have to cover for unpaid debt, they may have to scale back their lending activities not only in the crisis country but also abroad. ... Repercussions are likely to be strongest in countries with close trade links and a large financial exposure to"
Why this source?
  • Explains how financial crises transmit abroad when banks cover unpaid debt and scale back lending abroad, indicating cross-border banking links can propagate shocks.
  • States repercussions are strongest in countries with close trade links and large financial exposure, implying greater foreign-bank presence may increase exposure to external crises.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.31 Previous Years Questions > p. 120
Strength: 4/5
“If another global financial crisis happens in the near future, which of the following actions/policies are most likely to give some immunity to India? [2020] • 1. Not depending on short-term foreign borrowings• 2. Opening up to more foreign banks• 3. Maintaining full capital account convertibility Select the correct answer using the code given below: • (a) 1 only• (b) 1 and 2 only• (c) 3 only• (d) 1, 2 and 3• 39. If you withdraw Rs. 1,00,000 in cash from your demand deposit account at your bank, the immediate effect on aggregate money supply in the economy will be [2020] • (a) To reduce it by Rs.”
Why relevant

This past-question frames 'opening up to more foreign banks' alongside other policies as a possible source of 'immunity' to a global financial crisis, implying it is widely considered one of the policy levers to affect resilience.

How to extend

A student could use this to justify investigating mechanisms by which foreign banks might provide immunity (e.g., diversification of funding, expertise) and then check external data on those mechanisms.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 7: Money and Banking > 24. Private Sector Foreign Banks > p. 178
Strength: 4/5
“RBI, in 2005, released a first-ever document for the presence of Foreign Banks in India. Foreign Banks that desire to open a branch in India need to apply to RBI stating all the details about their shareholders' financial position, etc. Most of the Foreign Banks are focussed on trade finance, external commercial borrowings, wholesale lending, investment banking and treasury services. Examples of Private Sector Foreign Banks include CitiBank, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, American Express, etc.”
Why relevant

Describes the typical functions of foreign banks in India (trade finance, wholesale lending, treasury, investment banking), indicating the kinds of services and capital flows foreign banks bring into the domestic system.

How to extend

One could extend this by mapping how these services change domestic exposure to global shocks (e.g., treasury/investment banking links to global markets) using basic facts about global bank linkages.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 8: Financial Market > Priority Sector Lending > p. 240
Strength: 3/5
“RBI mandates banks to lend a certain portion of their funds to specified vulnerable sectors of the economy, which otherwise may not be attractive for banks from the profitability point of view. All Scheduled Commercial Banks and Foreign Private Banks (with a sizeable presence in India) are mandated to set aside 40 per cent of their Adjusted Net Bank Credit (ANDC) for lending to these sectors.”
Why relevant

States that foreign private banks with sizeable presence are mandated to follow priority sector lending rules, showing foreign banks would also be constrained by domestic regulatory obligations.

How to extend

A student could combine this with the notion that regulatory parity may limit foreign banks' ability to move capital freely during crises, affecting resilience assessments.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 3: Money and Banking - Part II > 3.3 Should large corporate be allowed to open their own banks? > p. 131
Strength: 4/5
“Background: Even after three decades of liberalization and rapid growth, "the total balance sheet of banks in India still constitutes less than 70% of the GDP, which is much less compared to global peers" such as China, where this ratio is closer to 175%. Further, domestic bank credit to the private sector is just 50% of GDP when in economies such as China, Japan, the US and Korea it is upwards of 150%.”
Why relevant

Notes India's relatively small banking balance-sheet-to-GDP and low domestic bank credit to private sector compared to peers, implying scope/need for greater banking capacity.

How to extend

One can extend this by reasoning that increasing foreign bank presence could raise overall banking capacity and diversification, potentially affecting shock-absorption; then check external data on credit growth and crisis transmission.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 7: Money and Banking > Benefits of such amalgamation: > p. 177
Strength: 3/5
“• This mega consolidation would help create banks that can compete with global banks effectively. • Greater scale and synergy through consolidation would lead to cost benefits to these banks. • It will also provide impetus to amalgamated banks by increasing their ability to support larger lending and greater financial capacity. • Access to a wider talent pool and a larger database will enhance their competitive advantage. Therefore, at present, there are following 12 PSBs (11 Nationalised Banks + SBI). They are: • 1. Punjab National Bank (PNB) • 2. Bank of Baroda • 3. Bank of India • 4.”
Why relevant

Lists benefits of larger, consolidated banks (greater ability to support larger lending, compete with global banks), offering an example that scale and global integration can change resilience and competitive dynamics.

How to extend

A student might analogize that foreign banks bring global scale/skills and thus could enhance depth/competition, then test with external evidence on whether such features helped or hurt countries in past global crises.

Statement 3
Is maintaining full capital account convertibility likely to increase India's resilience to or immunity from a future global financial crisis?
Origin: Web / Current Affairs Fairness: CA heavy Web-answerable

Web source
Presence: 5/5
"observed that, although there are benefits to be reaped from a more open capital account, international experience shows that this could impose tremendous pressures on the financial system."
Why this source?
  • Explicitly warns that a more open capital account 'could impose tremendous pressures on the financial system', implying greater vulnerability rather than immunity.
  • Mentions need for preconditions before liberalisation, indicating that immediate full convertibility would not automatically increase resilience.
Web source
Presence: 5/5
"The issue is handled with extreme caution given the potential for sudden capital reversals."
Why this source?
  • States liberalisation is 'handled with extreme caution given the potential for sudden capital reversals', linking full convertibility to the risk of rapid outflows that can undermine resilience.
  • Refers to recommended preconditions and phased implementation, suggesting full convertibility without safeguards would increase vulnerability.
Web source
Presence: 4/5
"The need for caution and gradualism arises from the fact that institutional and market structures, market practices and macro policies need to evolve, so that any risks arising from capital account convertibility can be minimised, if not avoided."
Why this source?
  • Argues capital account convertibility should be a gradual process because institutional, market and policy frameworks must evolve to minimise risks.
  • Implies that without such evolution, full convertibility would not enhance—and could reduce—resilience to crises.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > Capital Account Convertibility: > p. 109
Strength: 5/5
“But the flip side is that it could destabilize an economy due to massive capital flows in and out of the country.• Rupee will move to full capital account convertibility once the macroeconomic parameters like current account deficit, fiscal deficit, external debt, inflation become stable at low range and there is resilience to absorb shocks related to capital outflows.• Since capital convertibility is risky and makes foreign exchange rate more volatile, it is introduced only sometime after the introduction of convertibility on current account when exchange rate of currency of a country is relatively stable, deficit in balance of payments is well under control and enough foreign exchange reserves are available with the Central Bank.• Moving in the direction of allowing full capital account convertibility, in March 2020 RBI introduced 'Fully Accessible Route (FAR)' under which it removed the cap/ceiling and allowed full non-resident (foreign) investors investments in Government securities.”
Why relevant

States a general rule: full capital account convertibility can destabilize an economy via massive capital flows and makes exchange rates more volatile; prerequisites (stable macro parameters, adequate reserves) are recommended before moving to full convertibility.

How to extend

A student could combine this with facts about India's current reserves, fiscal and external balances to judge whether full convertibility would likely increase or reduce resilience in a crisis.

Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > Limitations > p. 499
Strength: 5/5
“• It exposes the economy to global vulnerabilities. \bullet• There remains a fear of sudden capital flight which may also lead to increase in current account deficit.\bullet Risk of speculative attacks.\bullet No ceiling on external debt may be disastrous.\bullet Zontagion effect, i.e., more chances of transmission of the effect of financial crisis occurring in a particular country to the Indian economy. As per the Tarapore Committee, there are some pre-conditions which need to be fulfilled before going for full convertibility of rupee: • 1. Reduce fiscal deficit to 3.5 per cent of GDP. • 2. Reduce public debt by setting up consolidated sinking fund. • 3.”
Why relevant

Lists specific risks of capital account convertibility: exposure to global vulnerabilities, sudden capital flight, speculative attacks and contagion (transmission of foreign crises).

How to extend

One could map these risks against historical episodes (e.g., crises with sudden stops) and India's exposure to FPI and external debt to infer likely impacts on resilience.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > 2.31 Previous Years Questions > p. 120
Strength: 4/5
“If another global financial crisis happens in the near future, which of the following actions/policies are most likely to give some immunity to India? [2020] • 1. Not depending on short-term foreign borrowings• 2. Opening up to more foreign banks• 3. Maintaining full capital account convertibility Select the correct answer using the code given below: • (a) 1 only• (b) 1 and 2 only• (c) 3 only• (d) 1, 2 and 3• 39. If you withdraw Rs. 1,00,000 in cash from your demand deposit account at your bank, the immediate effect on aggregate money supply in the economy will be [2020] • (a) To reduce it by Rs.”
Why relevant

Presents a direct exam-style question asking which policies (not depending on short-term foreign borrowings, opening to more foreign banks, maintaining full capital account convertibility) give 'some immunity' to India from a global crisis—implying full convertibility is a contested factor.

How to extend

A student could treat this as pointing to alternative protective policies and compare their mechanisms with full convertibility to weigh relative effectiveness in a crisis.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > Liberalized Remittance Scheme (LRS) > p. 110
Strength: 3/5
“• Under LRS, all resident individuals (in India) can freely (without seeking specific approvals) remit/send $250,000 overseas every financial year for a permissible set of current or capital account transactions. Remittances are permitted for overseas education, travel, medical treatment and purchase of shares and property, apart from maintenance of relatives living abroad, gifting and donations. Individuals can also open, maintain and hold foreign currency accounts with overseas banks for carrying out transactions.• The LRS represents India's baby steps towards dismantling controls on foreign exchange movements in and out of the country. It has allowed large numbers of Indians to study abroad and diversify their portfolios from purely desi stocks and property.• Ideally speaking, capital controls in any form have no place in a liberalised economy.”
Why relevant

Describes Liberalized Remittance Scheme as 'baby steps' toward dismantling capital controls and notes that 'ideally capital controls have no place in a liberalised economy'—gives a policy trajectory and normative claim about controls.

How to extend

Combine this with empirical knowledge of how partial liberalization behaved in other economies during crises to assess whether further liberalization (full convertibility) would help or hurt resilience.

Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 15: Budget and Economic Survey > 15.2 Economic Survey 2022-23 > p. 449
Strength: 4/5
“• 1. India's economic growth in FY 2023 has been principally led by private consumption and capital formation.• 2. The third decade of the 21st century has seen several challenges till now, some of them are Covid-19 pandemic, Russia-Ukraine crisis and monetary tightening and flight of capital from emerging economies and increase in interest rates• 3. India's recovery from the pandemic was relatively quick, and growth in the upcoming year will be supported by solid domestic demand and pickup in capital investment.• 4. As per the IMF's World Economic Outlook, global growth is forecasted to slow from 3.2% in 2022 to 2.7% in 2023.”
Why relevant

Notes recent episodes (pandemic, Russia–Ukraine, monetary tightening and flight of capital from emerging economies) that led to capital flight—illustrating that global shocks have led to capital outflows from emerging markets.

How to extend

A student could use this pattern of past capital flight during shocks to infer that opening the capital account might increase susceptibility to similar future outflows, reducing resilience.

Pattern takeaway: UPSC Economics questions often punish 'hyper-globalization' logic. They favor prudence and stability. When asked about 'crisis immunity', look for options that reduce exposure (insulation) rather than increase integration.
How you should have studied
  1. [THE VERDICT]: Conceptual Sitter. Directly solvable from standard texts (Vivek Singh/Singhania) chapters on BoP and Capital Account Convertibility.
  2. [THE CONCEPTUAL TRIGGER]: External Sector Vulnerability & Crisis Management. Specifically, the debate on 'Capital Account Convertibility'.
  3. [THE HORIZONTAL EXPANSION]: 1. Tarapore Committee Preconditions (Fiscal Deficit, Inflation, NPAs). 2. The 'Impossible Trinity' (Trilemma). 3. Guidotti-Greenspan Rule (Reserves vs Short-term debt). 4. Masala Bonds (Rupee denominated = less risk). 5. NEER vs REER trends.
  4. [THE STRATEGIC METACOGNITION]: Always categorize economic policies into 'Stabilizers' (Reserves, Capital Controls) vs 'Accelerators' (FDI, Convertibility). The question asked for a Stabilizer ('immunity').
Concept hooks from this question
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Short-term external debt / forex reserves ratio
💡 The insight

The ratio of short-term external debt to forex reserves is a key measure of a country's immediate ability to withstand external shocks.

High-yield for UPSC: connects balance of payments, reserve adequacy, and crisis management; useful for questions on external vulnerability and policy prescriptions (reserve policy, debt management). Mastery enables evaluation of policy options (e.g., limiting short-term borrowings) and application of rules like the Guidotti–Greenspan concept.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > RESERVE ADEQUACY FEW MONTHS OF IMPORTS RULE VERSUS GUIDOTTI-GREENSPAN RULE > p. 497
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Govt. of India (Central Govt.) Total Debt/Liabilities = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 > p. 163
🔗 Anchor: "Is reducing India's dependence on short-term foreign borrowings likely to increa..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Capital flow volatility, sudden stops and contagion
💡 The insight

Sudden capital flight and contagion are direct transmission channels by which short-term external borrowings amplify global financial crises.

Important for answering questions on financial stability and external sector risks; links to topics like capital account management, macroprudential policy, and crisis prevention. Enables analysis of policy trade-offs (openness vs stability) and case-based arguments using past crises.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > Limitations > p. 499
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > RESERVE ADEQUACY FEW MONTHS OF IMPORTS RULE VERSUS GUIDOTTI-GREENSPAN RULE > p. 497
🔗 Anchor: "Is reducing India's dependence on short-term foreign borrowings likely to increa..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S1
👉 Composition and currency denomination of external debt
💡 The insight

The share of short-term debt and the currency mix (e.g., USD share) determine exchange-rate and rollover risks during global shocks.

High relevance for questions on external vulnerability, corporate sector exposure, and instruments (e.g., Masala bonds vs foreign-currency borrowings). Helps craft targeted policy recommendations (de-dollarisation, lengthening maturities, developing local-currency markets).

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 4: Government Budgeting > Govt. of India (Central Govt.) Total Debt/Liabilities = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 > p. 163
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 9: Agriculture > MASALA BOND > p. 266
🔗 Anchor: "Is reducing India's dependence on short-term foreign borrowings likely to increa..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Functions and focus areas of foreign banks
💡 The insight

Foreign banks in India concentrate on trade finance, external commercial borrowings, wholesale lending, investment banking and treasury services.

High-yield for UPSC because understanding what foreign banks do clarifies how they can affect capital flows, liquidity and crisis transmission. Connects to topics on external sector, trade finance, and systemic risk; useful for questions on financial stability, crisis propagation and policy choices on bank entry.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 7: Money and Banking > 24. Private Sector Foreign Banks > p. 178
🔗 Anchor: "Is opening India's banking sector to more foreign banks likely to increase India..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Priority Sector Lending obligations for foreign banks
💡 The insight

Foreign private banks with a sizeable presence are mandated to meet the same priority sector lending targets as other scheduled banks (40% of ANDC).

Important because it shows that foreign banks contribute to domestic credit to vulnerable sectors, affecting distributive outcomes and resilience. Links banking regulation with rural/priority sector credit policy and enables answers on how liberalisation interacts with social/sectoral goals.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 8: Financial Market > Priority Sector Lending > p. 240
🔗 Anchor: "Is opening India's banking sector to more foreign banks likely to increase India..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S2
👉 Banking sector depth (credit-to-GDP) and capacity constraints
💡 The insight

India's bank balance-sheet size and domestic bank credit to private sector are relatively low versus global peers, indicating unmet credit needs and potential benefits of expanded banking capacity.

High-yield for framing arguments on whether opening to foreign banks addresses credit gaps or systemic vulnerabilities. Connects to questions on financial inclusion, growth financing, and comparative international banking structure; useful for policy evaluation and trade-offs in liberalisation debates.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 3: Money and Banking - Part II > 3.3 Should large corporate be allowed to open their own banks? > p. 131
🔗 Anchor: "Is opening India's banking sector to more foreign banks likely to increase India..."
📌 Adjacent topic to master
S3
👉 Capital account convertibility: risks and prerequisites
💡 The insight

Full capital account convertibility can trigger massive capital flows and exchange rate volatility unless macroeconomic deficits, external debt and reserves are suitably managed.

High-yield for UPSC: explains why policymakers sequence liberalisation and set preconditions before full convertibility. Connects macroeconomic stability, exchange rate management and external sector policy. Enables answering questions on trade-offs of liberalisation, sequencing reforms and policy safeguards.

📚 Reading List :
  • Indian Economy, Vivek Singh (7th ed. 2023-24) > Chapter 2: Money and Banking- Part I > Capital Account Convertibility: > p. 109
  • Indian Economy, Nitin Singhania .(ed 2nd 2021-22) > Chapter 17: India’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade > Limitations > p. 499
🔗 Anchor: "Is maintaining full capital account convertibility likely to increase India's re..."
🌑 The Hidden Trap

The 'Guidotti-Greenspan Rule'. It states that a country's forex reserves should equal its short-term external debt (1-year maturity). This is the technical metric justifying Statement 1.

⚡ Elimination Cheat Code

The 'Antonym Logic'. The question asks for 'Immunity' (Protection/Insulation). Statement 2 ('Opening up') and Statement 3 ('Full Convertibility') are mechanisms of 'Integration'. Integration is the opposite of Insulation. Therefore, 2 and 3 increase risk, not immunity. Eliminate D, C, B. Answer is A.

🔗 Mains Connection

Mains GS-3 (Security): Link 'Financial Immunity' to 'Economic Warfare'. High external debt or foreign bank dominance makes a nation vulnerable to sanctions or weaponized interdependence (e.g., Russia SWIFT ban).

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SIMILAR QUESTIONS

IAS · 2018 · Q59 Relevance score: 8.16

If another global financial crisis happens in the near future, which of the following actions/policies are most likely to give some immunity to India? 1. Not depending on short-term foreign borrowings 2. Opening up to more foreign banks 3. Maintaining full capital account convertibility Select the correct answer using the code given below:

CDS-II · 2011 · Q84 Relevance score: -0.77

A recent survey (by Bloomberg) shows that the USA has fallen behind emerging markets in Brazil, China and India as the preferred place to invest. Why is-it so ? 1. Unstable economic situation of the USA which the global investors feel not likely to improve in the near future. 2. Global investors are finding Brazil, China and India to be actually more amenable to foreign investment. Select the correct answer using the code given below :

IAS · 2017 · Q81 Relevance score: -2.86

What is/are the most likely advantages of implementing 'Goods and Services Tax (GST)' ? 1. It will replace multiple taxes collected by multiple authorities and will thus create a single market in India. 2. It will drastically reduce the 'Current Account Deficit' of India and will enable it to increase its foreign exchange reserves. 3. It will enormously increase the growth and size of economy of India and will enable it to overtake China in the near future. Select the correct answer using the code given below :

IAS · 2015 · Q22 Relevance score: -4.33

When the Reserve Bank of India reduces the Statutory Liquidity Ratio by 50 basis points, which of the following is likely to happen?

IAS · 2019 · Q65 Relevance score: -4.62

In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis? 1. The foreign currency earnings of India's IT sector 2. Increasing the government expenditure 3. Remittances from Indians abroad Select the correct answer using the code given below.